TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Reznychenko vs Yevhen Masko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811118811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 75.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 56–177 Yevhen Masko Roman Reznychenko has won 56 of their 233 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-177 in 233
Masko
Correct
gap of 121 in 233, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1538 vs Masko 1672
Masko
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 40% vs Masko 20%
Reznychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 30% vs Masko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -1 · Masko -3
Masko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 3.25 / Masko 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Masko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191432
Reznychenko3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 94 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Masko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 135 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 86 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it89% 110 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko5wins
AwayMasko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko80%4 of 5
AwayMasko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S2Reznychenko4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Reznychenko3Masko6n = 9Masko took 6 of 9
S4Reznychenko4Masko1n = 5Reznychenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoMaskoR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.234.4−0.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 702 vs 417 / 73032.6%57.1%229 / 702 vs 417 / 730Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoReznychenko 3.25/Masko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 20 · 17:55R. Reznychenko43311711113Y. Masko3711411382
LSep 18 · 21:25R. Reznychenko29117381Y. Masko3961111113
WSep 12 · 19:55R. Reznychenko3811412113Y. Masko358111061
WSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko4413611143Y. Masko4311119121
LSep 6 · 15:25R. Reznychenko248970Y. Masko331111113
WSep 4 · 23:25R. Reznychenko4011117113Y. Masko31871151
LAug 29 · 15:25R. Reznychenko217680Y. Masko331111113
WAug 29 · 01:25R. Reznychenko351113113Y. Masko2451180
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 25 · 21:25R. Reznychenko5.509480A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 19:24R. Reznychenko3.50111412113S. Hohenko1.287121471WSep 20 · 17:55R. Reznychenko3.00311711113Y. Masko1.3611411382LSep 20 · 16:25R. Reznychenko2.25811712122R. Cherevko1.571191110143LSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101
Y. Masko10
LSep 25 · 21:55E. Pismenniy3.0011711123Y. Masko1.368116101LSep 20 · 19:55Y. Masko1.536118141E. Pismenniy2.3811811163LSep 20 · 17:55R. Reznychenko3.00311711113Y. Masko1.3611411382WSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760LSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Reznychenko
Sep 26 · 00:25R. Reznychenko2.10R. Cherevko1.67—Sep 26 · 01:55R. Reznychenko2.75V. Melnik1.40—Sep 26 · 03:25R. Reznychenko2.20E. Pismenniy1.61—Sep 26 · 14:25R. Reznychenko3.25Y. Masko1.33—Sep 26 · 15:25R. Reznychenko2.10R. Cherevko1.67—Sep 26 · 16:25R. Reznychenko5.50A. Tuzhylin1.13—Sep 26 · 18:25R. Reznychenko2.75V. Melnik1.40—Sep 26 · 20:25R. Reznychenko2.20E. Pismenniy1.61—
Y. Masko
Sep 26 · 00:55Y. Masko2.00V. Melnik1.73—Sep 26 · 02:55Y. Masko3.00A. Tuzhylin1.36—Sep 26 · 04:25Y. Masko1.50R. Cherevko2.50—Sep 26 · 14:25Y. Masko1.33R. Reznychenko3.25—Sep 26 · 15:55Y. Masko2.00V. Melnik1.73—Sep 26 · 16:55Y. Masko1.36E. Pismenniy3.00—Sep 26 · 17:55Y. Masko3.00A. Tuzhylin1.36—Sep 26 · 19:55Y. Masko1.50R. Cherevko2.50—
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