TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111188111416––
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 85 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 64.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 148–76 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 76 of their 224 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
148-76 in 224
Masko
Wrong
gap of 72 in 224, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1710 vs Pismenniy 1511
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 40% vs Pismenniy 0%
Masko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Pismenniy 10%
Masko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -1 · Pismenniy -5
Pismenniy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.53 / Pismenniy 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161820
Masko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 141 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it91% 116 of 128
Pismenniy2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 60 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko7wins
AwayPismenniy3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko87.5%7 of 8
AwayPismenniyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko8Pismenniy2n = 10Masko took 8 of 10
S2Masko6Pismenniy4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Masko9Pismenniy1n = 10Masko took 9 of 10
S4Masko1Pismenniy4n = 5Pismenniy took 4 of 5
S5Masko1Pismenniy2n = 3Pismenniy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoPismenniyM − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.336.0+4.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 735 vs 204 / 69557.3%29.4%421 / 735 vs 204 / 695Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.53/Pismenniy 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pismenniy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 19:55Y. Masko331111113E. Pismenniy269890
WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko341111123E. Pismenniy2899100
WSep 13 · 16:55Y. Masko331111113E. Pismenniy216780
LSep 12 · 17:55Y. Masko3541011101E. Pismenniy4211127123
WSep 11 · 23:25Y. Masko51129118113E. Pismenniy41101151142
WSep 5 · 01:25Y. Masko4111118113E. Pismenniy30571171
LAug 29 · 19:55Y. Masko52115111692E. Pismenniy55911618113
WAug 29 · 02:55Y. Masko341112113E. Pismenniy2781090
LAug 23 · 16:55Y. Masko50711137122E. Pismenniy541171111143
Y. Masko10
LSep 20 · 17:55R. Reznychenko3.00311711113Y. Masko1.3611411382WSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760LSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 20 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.11511713113E. Pismenniy6.00116111172LSep 20 · 17:25S. Hohenko1.3691111113E. Pismenniy3.00116461LSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113LSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650WSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113LSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100LSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113
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