TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155510
Played Sep 19Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181210711811511
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 56.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 0–1 Yevhen Masko Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:58What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1780 vs Masko 1714
Hohenko
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 60% vs Masko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 70% vs Masko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko +2 · Masko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.83 / Masko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hohenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155510
Hohenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Masko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHohenko0wins
AwayMasko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMasko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHohenkoMaskoH − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.051.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 63 vs 422 / 73555.6%57.4%35 / 63 vs 422 / 735Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.83/Masko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 01:55S. Hohenko48111171182Y. Masko51791113113
S. Hohenko10
WSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182LSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.25911891S. Hohenko3.7511711113WSep 13 · 07:30O. Shkurupii2.508311131S. Hohenko1.5011119153
Y. Masko10
LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko3.00613731A. Tuzhylin1.36111111113WSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381WSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113WSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151WSep 13 · 16:55E. Pismenniy3.256780Y. Masko1.331111113WSep 13 · 14:55R. Reznychenko3.25670Y. Masko1.3311112
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