TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148378
Played Sep 18Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111311711311––
Alexander Tuzhylin
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Alexander Tuzhylin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 71.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 73–142 Alexander Tuzhylin Yevhen Masko has won 73 of their 215 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-142 in 215
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 69 in 215, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1700 vs Tuzhylin 1797
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 100% vs Tuzhylin 40%
Masko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 60% vs Tuzhylin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +5 · Tuzhylin +1
Masko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuzhylin form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 3.00 / Tuzhylin 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148378
Masko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 36 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Tuzhylin1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 198 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it98% 126 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it89% 147 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko3wins
AwayTuzhylin7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko50%3 of 6
AwayTuzhylin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko6Tuzhylin4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Masko4Tuzhylin6n = 10Tuzhylin took 6 of 10
S3Masko3Tuzhylin7n = 10Tuzhylin took 7 of 10
S4Masko1Tuzhylin4n = 5Tuzhylin took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoTuzhylinM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.436.1−4.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 731 vs 489 / 64257.3%76.2%419 / 731 vs 489 / 642Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinMasko 3.00/Tuzhylin 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko29613731A. Tuzhylin44111111113
WSep 13 · 20:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin249690
LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko217860A. Tuzhylin331111113
WSep 11 · 21:25Y. Masko3811115113A. Tuzhylin31781151
LSep 5 · 19:25Y. Masko2251160A. Tuzhylin351113113
LSep 4 · 21:25Y. Masko3811107101A. Tuzhylin4491211123
WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin248880
LAug 28 · 23:25Y. Masko31119741A. Tuzhylin4291111113
LAug 22 · 24:25Y. Masko4614611962A. Tuzhylin501211511113
LAug 15 · 14:55Y. Masko2361070A. Tuzhylin341112113
Y. Masko10
WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181WSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381WSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113WSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151WSep 13 · 16:55E. Pismenniy3.256780Y. Masko1.331111113WSep 13 · 14:55R. Reznychenko3.25670Y. Masko1.3311112WSep 13 · 13:55V. Melnik1.6511991192Y. Masko2.05711118113LSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113LSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 18 · 21:55E. Pismenniy6.003860A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113LSep 13 · 18:25V. Melnik2.101111113A. Tuzhylin1.675880WSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko6.005780A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 15:25A. Tuzhylin1.44611121192R. Cherevko2.63117146113WSep 13 · 14:25E. Pismenniy6.00101340A. Tuzhylin1.11121583WSep 12 · 20:25R. Cherevko3.259880A. Tuzhylin1.331111113LSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101
Upcoming Matches
Y. Masko
A. Tuzhylin
Sep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.11R. Reznychenko6.00—Sep 19 · 04:25A. Tuzhylin1.40R. Cherevko2.75—Sep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.36Y. Masko3.00—Sep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.11R. Reznychenko6.00—Sep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.53S. Hohenko2.38—Sep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.11E. Pismenniy6.00—Sep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.40R. Cherevko2.75—
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