TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155734
Played Sep 19Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51171112101412811
Serhii Hohenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 73.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 0–1 Serhii Hohenko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1512 vs Hohenko 1766
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 254 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 20% vs Hohenko 40%
Hohenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 10% vs Hohenko 60%
Hohenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -2 · Hohenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Hohenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hohenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 3.25 / Hohenko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Hohenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155734
Pismenniy3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 60 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Hohenko1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 28 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePismenniy0wins
AwayHohenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHohenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPismenniyHohenkoP − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.043.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 696 vs 34 / 6229.7%54.8%207 / 696 vs 34 / 62Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoPismenniy 3.25/Hohenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3571111242S. Hohenko43113711113
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100LSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113WSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431LSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 21:55E. Pismenniy6.003860A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113LSep 13 · 16:55E. Pismenniy3.256780Y. Masko1.331111113LSep 13 · 15:55V. Melnik1.50531111113E. Pismenniy2.5011118792LSep 13 · 14:25E. Pismenniy6.00101340A. Tuzhylin1.11121583LSep 12 · 19:25E. Pismenniy2.63711911112V. Melnik1.44115119133
S. Hohenko10
LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182LSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.25911891S. Hohenko3.7511711113WSep 13 · 07:30O. Shkurupii2.508311131S. Hohenko1.5011119153WSep 13 · 06:30S. Hohenko1.501191110113O. Shkurupii2.5061171252
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.