TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155854
Played Sep 19Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1128116111311311
Serhii Hohenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 56.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 1–0 Serhii Hohenko Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tuzhylin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1804 vs Hohenko 1748
Tuzhylin
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Hohenko 40%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 70% vs Hohenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin +3 · Hohenko -1
Tuzhylin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tuzhylin) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuzhylin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.44 / Hohenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Tuzhylin)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155854
Tuzhylin1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 193 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it90% 146 of 162
Hohenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog24% won 4 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTuzhylin1wins
AwayHohenko0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTuzhylinHohenkoT − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.043.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 647 vs 35 / 6476.2%54.7%493 / 647 vs 35 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.44/Hohenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 24:55A. Tuzhylin49119711113S. Hohenko4381111852
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123LSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113WSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko3.00613731A. Tuzhylin1.36111111113WSep 18 · 21:55E. Pismenniy6.003860A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113LSep 13 · 18:25V. Melnik2.101111113A. Tuzhylin1.675880WSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko6.005780A. Tuzhylin1.111111113
S. Hohenko10
LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182LSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.25911891S. Hohenko3.7511711113WSep 13 · 07:30O. Shkurupii2.508311131S. Hohenko1.5011119153
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