TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155628
Played Sep 19Finished
Roman Cherevko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1715811911115119
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Cherevko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Cherevko above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 107 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Roman Cherevko at 66.9%
107 points played in total.
H2H Roman Cherevko 165–68 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 68 of their 233 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
165-68 in 233
Cherevko
Correct
gap of 97 in 233, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cherevko 1664 vs Pismenniy 1499
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cherevko 40% vs Pismenniy 20%
Cherevko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cherevko 50% vs Pismenniy 10%
Cherevko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cherevko -2 · Pismenniy -3
Pismenniy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cherevko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCherevko 1.44 / Pismenniy 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Cherevko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155628
Cherevko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 97 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 65 of 76
Pismenniy2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 60 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCherevko9wins
AwayPismenniy1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCherevko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCherevko83.3%5 of 6
AwayPismenniy0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cherevko6Pismenniy4n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S2Cherevko5Pismenniy5n = 10split evenly
S3Cherevko6Pismenniy4n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S4Cherevko8Pismenniy1n = 9Cherevko took 8 of 9
S5Cherevko4Pismenniy1n = 5Cherevko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCherevkoPismenniyC − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.738.6+6.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCherevkoPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 732 vs 207 / 69751.6%29.7%378 / 732 vs 207 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CherevkoCherevko 1.44/Pismenniy 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Cherevko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 02:25R. Cherevko511171012113E. Pismenniy48811121072
WSep 13 · 19:55R. Cherevko4281112113E. Pismenniy351181061
WSep 12 · 16:25R. Cherevko50811911113E. Pismenniy3911711372
WSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko4411148113E. Pismenniy368121151
LSep 6 · 16:55R. Cherevko3911611652E. Pismenniy43511511113
WSep 5 · 18:55R. Cherevko3811511113E. Pismenniy33711691
WSep 4 · 21:55R. Cherevko521091111113E. Pismenniy4212113792
WAug 29 · 16:55R. Cherevko599101111183E. Pismenniy56111289162
WAug 28 · 22:55R. Cherevko3812114113E. Pismenniy371091171
WAug 23 · 14:25R. Cherevko341112113E. Pismenniy1751020
R. Cherevko10
LSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123WSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113LSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181WSep 18 · 23:25R. Cherevko1.6781113133R. Reznychenko2.1011711111WSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113LSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151LSep 13 · 17:25V. Melnik1.91951111113R. Cherevko1.8011117762WSep 13 · 15:25A. Tuzhylin1.44611121192R. Cherevko2.63117146113
E. Pismenniy10
WSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113LSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100LSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113WSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431LSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 21:55E. Pismenniy6.003860A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113LSep 13 · 16:55E. Pismenniy3.256780Y. Masko1.331111113LSep 13 · 15:55V. Melnik1.50531111113E. Pismenniy2.5011118792
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