TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148621
Played Sep 18Finished
Roman Cherevko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81111713111311––
Roman Reznychenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeRoman Cherevko to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Cherevko above · Roman Reznychenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 85 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Roman Cherevko at 59.4%
85 points played in total.
H2H Roman Cherevko 131–106 Roman Reznychenko Roman Reznychenko has won 106 of their 237 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
131-106 in 237
Cherevko
Correct
gap of 25 in 237, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cherevko 1689 vs Reznychenko 1525
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cherevko 60% vs Reznychenko 20%
Cherevko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cherevko 60% vs Reznychenko 40%
Cherevko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cherevko +2 · Reznychenko -4
Reznychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cherevko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reznychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCherevko 1.67 / Reznychenko 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cherevko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148621
Cherevko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 97 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it86% 65 of 76
Reznychenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 93 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCherevko6wins
AwayReznychenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCherevko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCherevko71.4%5 of 7
AwayReznychenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cherevko7Reznychenko3n = 10Cherevko took 7 of 10
S2Cherevko4Reznychenko6n = 10Reznychenko took 6 of 10
S3Cherevko5Reznychenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Cherevko7Reznychenko2n = 9Cherevko took 7 of 9
S5Cherevko1Reznychenko2n = 3Reznychenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCherevkoReznychenkoC − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.6+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCherevkoReznychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 727 vs 228 / 70251.7%32.5%376 / 727 vs 228 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.933.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CherevkoCherevko 1.67/Reznychenko 2.10
Hit
What we said
59.4%
Cherevko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 13:25R. Cherevko46111113113R. Reznychenko34471581
WSep 11 · 21:55R. Cherevko5510121111113R. Reznychenko4912146982
LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko346111071R. Reznychenko4111712113
WSep 5 · 19:55R. Cherevko4011711113R. Reznychenko26511371
WSep 5 · 04:25R. Cherevko341211113R. Reznychenko2310850
LAug 29 · 20:25R. Cherevko4011910101R. Reznychenko4271112123
LAug 29 · 03:25R. Cherevko47117611122R. Reznychenko48911113143
WAug 23 · 15:25R. Cherevko4211911113R. Reznychenko34911951
LAug 22 · 19:55R. Cherevko49109111182R. Reznychenko44121146113
WAug 21 · 21:55R. Cherevko4212118113R. Reznychenko351071171
R. Cherevko10
LSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181WSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113LSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151LSep 13 · 17:25V. Melnik1.91951111113R. Cherevko1.8011117762WSep 13 · 15:25A. Tuzhylin1.44611121192R. Cherevko2.63117146113WSep 13 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.38471581R. Cherevko1.53111113113LSep 12 · 20:25R. Cherevko3.259880A. Tuzhylin1.331111113LSep 12 · 18:25V. Melnik1.9181112113R. Cherevko1.801191091WSep 12 · 16:25E. Pismenniy2.6311711372R. Cherevko1.44811911113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381LSep 13 · 19:25R. Reznychenko3.00104100V. Melnik1.361211123LSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko6.005780A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 14:55R. Reznychenko3.25670Y. Masko1.3311112LSep 13 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.38471581R. Cherevko1.53111113113WSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113WSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3391161182R. Reznychenko3.25119119113WSep 12 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.6180R. Reznychenko2.20111LSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572
Upcoming Matches
R. Cherevko
Sep 19 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.50E. Pismenniy2.50—Sep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.75A. Tuzhylin1.40—Sep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67R. Reznychenko2.10—Sep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.50E. Pismenniy2.50—Sep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.10Y. Masko1.67—Sep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00S. Hohenko1.73—Sep 19 · 19:25R. Cherevko2.75A. Tuzhylin1.40—
R. Reznychenko
Sep 19 · 01:25R. Reznychenko2.20E. Pismenniy1.61—Sep 19 · 02:55R. Reznychenko6.00A. Tuzhylin1.11—Sep 19 · 03:55R. Reznychenko2.10S. Hohenko1.67—Sep 19 · 13:55R. Reznychenko2.10R. Cherevko1.67—Sep 19 · 14:55R. Reznychenko6.00A. Tuzhylin1.11—Sep 19 · 16:55R. Reznychenko2.20E. Pismenniy1.61—Sep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.00Y. Masko1.36—Sep 19 · 20:25R. Reznychenko—S. Hohenko——
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