TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Roman Reznychenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311114711113118
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:14 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 80 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 73.2%
80 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 55–177 Yevhen Masko Roman Reznychenko has won 55 of their 232 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-177 in 232
Masko
Wrong
gap of 122 in 232, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1463 vs Masko 1728
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 20% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 30% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -2 · Masko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 3.00 / Masko 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Masko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161653
Reznychenko3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 92 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 121
Masko1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 141 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it91% 116 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko5wins
AwayMasko5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMasko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko6Masko4n = 10Reznychenko took 6 of 10
S2Reznychenko4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Reznychenko3Masko6n = 9Masko took 6 of 9
S4Reznychenko4Masko1n = 5Reznychenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoMaskoR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.034.5−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 706 vs 421 / 73532.4%57.3%229 / 706 vs 421 / 735Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoReznychenko 3.00/Masko 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Reznychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 18 · 21:25R. Reznychenko29117381Y. Masko3961111113
WSep 12 · 19:55R. Reznychenko3811412113Y. Masko358111061
WSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko4413611143Y. Masko4311119121
LSep 6 · 15:25R. Reznychenko248970Y. Masko331111113
WSep 4 · 23:25R. Reznychenko4011117113Y. Masko31871151
LAug 29 · 15:25R. Reznychenko217680Y. Masko331111113
WAug 29 · 01:25R. Reznychenko351113113Y. Masko2451180
WAug 23 · 18:55R. Reznychenko4112117113Y. Masko381081191
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 20 · 16:25R. Reznychenko2.25811712122R. Cherevko1.571191110143LSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670WSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113
Y. Masko10
WSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760LSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182
Upcoming Matches
R. Reznychenko
Nothing scheduled
Y. Masko
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