TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155508
Played Sep 19Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1315119118116––
Roman Reznychenko
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Roman Reznychenko below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 84 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 61.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 1–0 Roman Reznychenko Roman Reznychenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (68%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1748 vs Reznychenko 1514
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 60% vs Reznychenko 20%
Hohenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 50% vs Reznychenko 20%
Hohenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko -1 · Reznychenko -3
Reznychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reznychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.37 / Reznychenko 2.85
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Hohenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155508
Hohenko1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 28 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Reznychenko2.85
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 91 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHohenko1wins
AwayReznychenko0wins
Hohenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHohenkoReznychenkoH − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoReznychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 66 vs 230 / 71054.6%32.4%36 / 66 vs 230 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.21.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.133.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.37/Reznychenko 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko331111113R. Reznychenko207670
S. Hohenko10
LSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182LSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670WSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113LSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431LSep 18 · 23:25R. Cherevko1.6781113133R. Reznychenko2.1011711111LSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381LSep 13 · 19:25R. Reznychenko3.00104100V. Melnik1.361211123
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