TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155025
Played Sep 19Finished
Roman Reznychenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911510––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-10
Point 52 set 3, 5-10 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 73.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 55–176 Yevhen Masko Roman Reznychenko has won 55 of their 231 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-176 in 231
Masko
Correct
gap of 121 in 231, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1521 vs Masko 1735
Masko
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 40% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 20% vs Masko 70%
Masko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -2 · Masko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 3.00 / Masko 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Masko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155025
Reznychenko3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 91 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 120
Masko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 86 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it91% 114 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko5wins
AwayMasko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMasko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko6Masko4n = 10Reznychenko took 6 of 10
S2Reznychenko4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Reznychenko4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Reznychenko5Masko1n = 6Reznychenko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoMaskoR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.036.6−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 709 vs 423 / 73732.4%57.4%230 / 709 vs 423 / 737Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoReznychenko 3.00/Masko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 21:25R. Reznychenko29117381Y. Masko3961111113
WSep 12 · 19:55R. Reznychenko3811412113Y. Masko358111061
WSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko4413611143Y. Masko4311119121
LSep 6 · 15:25R. Reznychenko248970Y. Masko331111113
WSep 4 · 23:25R. Reznychenko4011117113Y. Masko31871151
LAug 29 · 15:25R. Reznychenko217680Y. Masko331111113
WAug 29 · 01:25R. Reznychenko351113113Y. Masko2451180
WAug 23 · 18:55R. Reznychenko4112117113Y. Masko381081191
LAug 22 · 13:25R. Reznychenko4338111382Y. Masko531111911113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670WSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113LSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431LSep 18 · 23:25R. Cherevko1.6781113133R. Reznychenko2.1011711111LSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381LSep 13 · 19:25R. Reznychenko3.00104100V. Melnik1.361211123LSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko6.005780A. Tuzhylin1.111111113
Y. Masko10
WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko3.00613731A. Tuzhylin1.36111111113WSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381WSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113
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