TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155618
Played Sep 19Finished
Roman Cherevko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
16141311119––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Cherevko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 74 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 56.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Roman Cherevko 94–153 Yevhen Masko Roman Cherevko has won 94 of their 247 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-153 in 247
Masko
Wrong
gap of 59 in 247, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cherevko 1682 vs Masko 1743
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cherevko 40% vs Masko 80%
Masko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cherevko 50% vs Masko 80%
Masko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cherevko +1 · Masko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCherevko 2.10 / Masko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Masko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13155618
Cherevko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Masko1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 86 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it91% 114 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCherevko3wins
AwayMasko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCherevko60%3 of 5
AwayMasko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cherevko5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S2Cherevko3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Cherevko5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S4Cherevko1Masko3n = 4Masko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCherevkoMaskoC − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.135.4−2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCherevkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 733 vs 423 / 73651.7%57.5%379 / 733 vs 423 / 736Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoCherevko 2.10/Masko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 24:25R. Cherevko32941181Y. Masko3611113113
WSep 12 · 14:25R. Cherevko46131111113Y. Masko401113971
LSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2881190Y. Masko351113113
WSep 6 · 20:25R. Cherevko331111113Y. Masko229670
LSep 5 · 17:25R. Cherevko36791191Y. Masko4211119113
LSep 5 · 02:55R. Cherevko2468100Y. Masko341111123
LAug 29 · 18:55R. Cherevko216870Y. Masko331111113
LAug 28 · 21:25R. Cherevko4111116762Y. Masko47861111113
WAug 23 · 20:25R. Cherevko371412113Y. Masko30121080
R. Cherevko10
WSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123WSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113LSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181WSep 18 · 23:25R. Cherevko1.6781113133R. Reznychenko2.1011711111WSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113LSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151
Y. Masko10
WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko3.00613731A. Tuzhylin1.36111111113WSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381WSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113WSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151
Upcoming Matches
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Y. Masko
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