TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155414
Played Sep 19Finished
Roman Cherevko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111311116911113
Serhii Hohenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Cherevko above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 95 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 55.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Roman Cherevko 1–0 Serhii Hohenko Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hohenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cherevko 1691 vs Hohenko 1762
Hohenko
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cherevko 60% vs Hohenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cherevko 60% vs Hohenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cherevko +2 · Hohenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCherevko 2.00 / Hohenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Hohenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155414
Cherevko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 60 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Hohenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 28 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCherevko1wins
AwayHohenko0wins
Cherevko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCherevkoHohenkoC − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.036.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCherevkoHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 734 vs 36 / 6551.8%55.4%380 / 734 vs 36 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoCherevko 2.00/Hohenko 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 18 · 22:25R. Cherevko4515811113S. Hohenko361311571
R. Cherevko10
WSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123WSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113LSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181WSep 18 · 23:25R. Cherevko1.6781113133R. Reznychenko2.1011711111WSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113
S. Hohenko10
WSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182LSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko1.801311571R. Cherevko1.9115811113WSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.25911891S. Hohenko3.7511711113
Upcoming Matches
R. Cherevko
Nothing scheduled
S. Hohenko
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