TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13156231
Played Sep 19Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811911––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 66.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 76–147 Yevhen Masko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 76 of their 223 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-147 in 223
Masko
Correct
gap of 71 in 223, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1498 vs Masko 1741
Masko
Correct
both rated, 243 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 20% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 20% vs Masko 70%
Masko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -1 · Masko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 2.38 / Masko 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13156231
Pismenniy2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog24% won 60 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Masko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 86 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it91% 114 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy3wins
AwayMasko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMasko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy2Masko8n = 10Masko took 8 of 10
S2Pismenniy4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Pismenniy2Masko8n = 10Masko took 8 of 10
S4Pismenniy5Masko1n = 6Pismenniy took 5 of 6
S5Pismenniy2Masko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyMaskoP − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.9−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 700 vs 424 / 73829.7%57.5%208 / 700 vs 424 / 738Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoPismenniy 2.38/Masko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 03:25E. Pismenniy2899100Y. Masko341111123
LSep 13 · 16:55E. Pismenniy216780Y. Masko331111113
WSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy4211127123Y. Masko3541011101
LSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy41101151142Y. Masko51129118113
LSep 5 · 01:25E. Pismenniy30571171Y. Masko4111118113
WAug 29 · 19:55E. Pismenniy55911618113Y. Masko52115111692
LAug 29 · 02:55E. Pismenniy2781090Y. Masko341112113
WAug 23 · 16:55E. Pismenniy541171111143Y. Masko50711137122
LAug 22 · 14:55E. Pismenniy46591111102Y. Masko47111158123
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650WSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113LSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100LSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113WSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431LSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113LSep 18 · 21:55E. Pismenniy6.003860A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.631181061R. Cherevko1.4481112113
Y. Masko10
WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko3.00613731A. Tuzhylin1.36111111113WSep 18 · 21:25Y. Masko1.3661111113R. Reznychenko3.00117381WSep 13 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.449690Y. Masko2.631111113
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