TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117116––––
Alexander Tuzhylin
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Alexander Tuzhylin below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 61 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 66.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 73–143 Alexander Tuzhylin Yevhen Masko has won 73 of their 216 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tuzhylin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-143 in 216
Tuzhylin
Wrong
gap of 70 in 216, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1710 vs Tuzhylin 1800
Tuzhylin
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 40% vs Tuzhylin 60%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 60% vs Tuzhylin 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -2 · Tuzhylin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 2.63 / Tuzhylin 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161936
Masko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 35 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Tuzhylin1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 196 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it98% 125 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it90% 149 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko3wins
AwayTuzhylin7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko42.9%3 of 7
AwayTuzhylin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko7Tuzhylin3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Masko4Tuzhylin6n = 10Tuzhylin took 6 of 10
S3Masko3Tuzhylin7n = 10Tuzhylin took 7 of 10
S4Masko1Tuzhylin4n = 5Tuzhylin took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoTuzhylinM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.336.3−4.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 734 vs 492 / 64657.2%76.2%420 / 734 vs 492 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinMasko 2.63/Tuzhylin 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko29613731A. Tuzhylin44111111113
WSep 13 · 20:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin249690
LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko217860A. Tuzhylin331111113
WSep 11 · 21:25Y. Masko3811115113A. Tuzhylin31781151
LSep 5 · 19:25Y. Masko2251160A. Tuzhylin351113113
LSep 4 · 21:25Y. Masko3811107101A. Tuzhylin4491211123
WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin248880
LAug 28 · 23:25Y. Masko31119741A. Tuzhylin4291111113
LAug 22 · 24:25Y. Masko4614611962A. Tuzhylin501211511113
Y. Masko10
LSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123LSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650LSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113WSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123LSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113WSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113
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