TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711113911119
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 0–2 Yevhen Masko Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:56What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1752 vs Masko 1717
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 40% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 50% vs Masko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko -1 · Masko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 2.00 / Masko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Masko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13162040
Hohenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 5 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Masko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 141 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it91% 116 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHohenko0wins
AwayMasko2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderMasko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHohenkoMaskoH − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.551.0−5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 68 vs 420 / 73454.4%57.2%37 / 68 vs 420 / 734Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoHohenko 2.00/Masko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko4311127852Y. Masko518101111113
LSep 19 · 01:55S. Hohenko48111171182Y. Masko51791113113
S. Hohenko10
LSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123WSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182LSep 19 · 24:55S. Hohenko2.2581111852A. Tuzhylin1.57119711113WSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113
Y. Masko10
LSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113LSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100WSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182WSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko3.00613731A. Tuzhylin1.36111111113
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