TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Roman Reznychenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111971112101214
Roman Cherevko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Cherevko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 105 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Roman Cherevko at 62.5%
105 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 107–132 Roman Cherevko Roman Reznychenko has won 107 of their 239 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
107-132 in 239
Cherevko
Correct
gap of 25 in 239, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1471 vs Cherevko 1739
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 20% vs Cherevko 100%
Cherevko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 30% vs Cherevko 70%
Cherevko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -1 · Cherevko +5
Cherevko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cherevko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cherevko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 2.25 / Cherevko 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Cherevko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161838
Reznychenko2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 92 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 121
Cherevko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 98 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 66 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko4wins
AwayCherevko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCherevko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko50%2 of 4
AwayCherevko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko4Cherevko6n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S2Reznychenko5Cherevko5n = 10split evenly
S3Reznychenko4Cherevko6n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S4Reznychenko3Cherevko6n = 9Cherevko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoCherevkoR − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.6−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 707 vs 380 / 73232.4%51.9%229 / 707 vs 380 / 732Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CherevkoReznychenko 2.25/Cherevko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Cherevko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 23:25R. Reznychenko4011711111R. Cherevko4581113133
LSep 13 · 13:25R. Reznychenko34471581R. Cherevko46111113113
LSep 11 · 21:55R. Reznychenko4912146982R. Cherevko5510121111113
WSep 6 · 18:55R. Reznychenko4111712113R. Cherevko346111071
LSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko26511371R. Cherevko4011711113
LSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2310850R. Cherevko341211113
WAug 29 · 20:25R. Reznychenko4271112123R. Cherevko4011910101
WAug 29 · 03:25R. Reznychenko48911113143R. Cherevko47117611122
LAug 23 · 15:25R. Reznychenko34911951R. Cherevko4211911113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670WSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113LSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431
R. Cherevko10
WSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123WSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113LSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181WSep 18 · 23:25R. Cherevko1.6781113133R. Reznychenko2.1011711111
Upcoming Matches
R. Reznychenko
Nothing scheduled
R. Cherevko
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