TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116114116––
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 73.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 2–0 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1760 vs Pismenniy 1525
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 235 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 60% vs Pismenniy 20%
Hohenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 50% vs Pismenniy 20%
Hohenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko +1 · Pismenniy -3
Pismenniy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.36 / Pismenniy 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Hohenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161994
Hohenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 30 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Pismenniy3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog24% won 60 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHohenko2wins
AwayPismenniy0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderHohenko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHohenkoPismenniyH − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.040.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 69 vs 206 / 69755.1%29.6%38 / 69 vs 206 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.36/Pismenniy 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 19 · 14:25S. Hohenko5511111012113E. Pismenniy4657121482
WSep 18 · 23:55S. Hohenko43113711113E. Pismenniy3571111242
S. Hohenko10
LSep 20 · 18:25S. Hohenko1.833850R. Cherevko1.831111113WSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123WSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113LSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650WSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113LSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100LSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113WSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431LSep 18 · 23:55E. Pismenniy3.2571111242S. Hohenko1.33113711113
Upcoming Matches
S. Hohenko
Nothing scheduled
E. Pismenniy
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