TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811511––––
Roman Cherevko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 0–2 Roman Cherevko Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1765 vs Cherevko 1747
Hohenko
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 60% vs Cherevko 100%
Cherevko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 60% vs Cherevko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko +2 · Cherevko +6
Cherevko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hohenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cherevko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.83 / Cherevko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hohenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13162014
Hohenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Cherevko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHohenko0wins
AwayCherevko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderCherevko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHohenkoCherevkoH − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.049.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 70 vs 381 / 73255.7%52.1%39 / 70 vs 381 / 732Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.83/Cherevko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 19 · 18:25S. Hohenko42111161132R. Cherevko53913119113
LSep 18 · 22:25S. Hohenko361311571R. Cherevko4515811113
S. Hohenko10
WSep 20 · 17:25S. Hohenko1.3691111113E. Pismenniy3.00116461WSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123WSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113LSep 19 · 15:25S. Hohenko1.8311127852Y. Masko1.838101111113WSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113WSep 19 · 03:55S. Hohenko1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107670LSep 19 · 01:55Y. Masko1.83791113113S. Hohenko1.83111171182
R. Cherevko10
WSep 20 · 16:25R. Reznychenko2.25811712122R. Cherevko1.571191110143WSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 18:25R. Cherevko2.00913119113S. Hohenko1.73111161132WSep 19 · 17:25R. Cherevko2.101613113Y. Masko1.67141190WSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143LSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123WSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113LSep 19 · 24:25Y. Masko1.6711113113R. Cherevko2.10941181
Upcoming Matches
S. Hohenko
Nothing scheduled
R. Cherevko
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