TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111167111311117
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched — 88.6% is still 88.6%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
88.6%
88.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 88.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 193–18 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 18 of their 211 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:24What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
193-18 in 211
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 175 in 211, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1781 vs Pismenniy 1520
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 261 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 60% vs Pismenniy 20%
Tuzhylin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 60% vs Pismenniy 20%
Tuzhylin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin -1 · Pismenniy -4
Pismenniy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuzhylin form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.11 / Pismenniy 6.00
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161679
Tuzhylin1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 196 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it98% 125 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it90% 149 of 166
Pismenniy6.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 60 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuzhylin10wins
AwayPismenniy0wins
Tuzhylin leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuzhylin100%8 of 8
AwayPismenniyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuzhylin8Pismenniy2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S2Tuzhylin9Pismenniy1n = 10Tuzhylin took 9 of 10
S3Tuzhylin8Pismenniy1n = 9Tuzhylin took 8 of 9
S4Tuzhylin4Pismenniy0n = 4Tuzhylin took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTuzhylinPismenniyT − PBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.828.0+9.8per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 646 vs 204 / 69576%29.4%491 / 646 vs 204 / 695Avg sets wonper match2.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.11/Pismenniy 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.6%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin331111113E. Pismenniy187650
WSep 18 · 21:55A. Tuzhylin331111113E. Pismenniy173860
WSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin4391211113E. Pismenniy381110981
WSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin341112113E. Pismenniy2681080
WSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin341211113E. Pismenniy2510870
WAug 29 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin361411113E. Pismenniy2612680
WAug 29 · 04:25A. Tuzhylin46111211123E. Pismenniy3813105101
WAug 21 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin4313811113E. Pismenniy341111751
WAug 15 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin3811115113E. Pismenniy30841171
A. Tuzhylin10
LSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760WSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123LSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650LSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113WSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741WSep 19 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.7569100A. Tuzhylin1.401111123LSep 19 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.1199111172R. Reznychenko6.00111164113
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 20 · 17:25S. Hohenko1.3691111113E. Pismenniy3.00116461LSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113LSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650WSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 15:55R. Cherevko1.44178911113E. Pismenniy2.63151111592LSep 19 · 14:25E. Pismenniy3.2557121482S. Hohenko1.3311111012113LSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko1.501111123E. Pismenniy2.5099100LSep 19 · 02:25E. Pismenniy2.50811121072R. Cherevko1.501171012113WSep 19 · 01:25E. Pismenniy1.61111112113R. Reznychenko2.20611431
Upcoming Matches
A. Tuzhylin
E. Pismenniy
Nothing scheduled
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