TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Reznychenko vs Alexander Tuzhylin 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 87.8% is still 87.8%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
87.8%
87.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Alexander Tuzhylin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 87.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 22–197 Alexander Tuzhylin Roman Reznychenko has won 22 of their 219 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-197 in 219
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 175 in 219, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1544 vs Tuzhylin 1801
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 257 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 60% vs Tuzhylin 80%
Tuzhylin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 40% vs Tuzhylin 70%
Tuzhylin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko +2 · Tuzhylin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reznychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 5.50 / Tuzhylin 1.13
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191278
Reznychenko5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 94 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 118
Tuzhylin1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 192 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it90% 147 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko2wins
AwayTuzhylin8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko50%2 of 4
AwayTuzhylin100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko4Tuzhylin6n = 10Tuzhylin took 6 of 10
S2Reznychenko3Tuzhylin7n = 10Tuzhylin took 7 of 10
S3Reznychenko2Tuzhylin7n = 9Tuzhylin took 7 of 9
S4Reznychenko0Tuzhylin6n = 6Tuzhylin took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoTuzhylinR − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.939.3−8.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 707 vs 490 / 64532.7%76%231 / 707 vs 490 / 645Avg sets wonper match1.52.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinReznychenko 5.50/Tuzhylin 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.8%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko226970A. Tuzhylin331111113
LSep 19 · 14:55R. Reznychenko366119101A. Tuzhylin4311911123
WSep 19 · 02:55R. Reznychenko43111164113A. Tuzhylin4799111172
LSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko205780A. Tuzhylin331111113
LSep 11 · 22:55R. Reznychenko32115791A. Tuzhylin4291111113
LSep 5 · 17:55R. Reznychenko32781161A. Tuzhylin3911116113
LSep 5 · 00:25R. Reznychenko2681080A. Tuzhylin341112113
LAug 29 · 16:25R. Reznychenko34116981A. Tuzhylin4071111113
LAug 29 · 02:25R. Reznychenko33481291A. Tuzhylin43111110113
R. Reznychenko10
WSep 20 · 19:24R. Reznychenko3.50111412113S. Hohenko1.287121471WSep 20 · 17:55R. Reznychenko3.00311711113Y. Masko1.3611411382LSep 20 · 16:25R. Reznychenko2.25811712122R. Cherevko1.571191110143LSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.009111113243E. Pismenniy1.73118715222LSep 19 · 20:25S. Hohenko1.37131111113R. Reznychenko2.85159861LSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103LSep 19 · 16:55E. Pismenniy1.7391111113R. Reznychenko2.00116981LSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:55R. Cherevko1.67141111712R. Reznychenko2.1016641143
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 20 · 20:25R. Cherevko2.757890A. Tuzhylin1.401111113WSep 20 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.11511713113E. Pismenniy6.00116111172LSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760WSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123LSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650LSep 19 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.4411861332S. Hohenko2.632111111113WSep 19 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111911123R. Reznychenko6.006119101WSep 19 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.836111173Y. Masko1.83114741
Upcoming Matches
R. Reznychenko
Sep 25 · 22:55R. Reznychenko3.25Y. Masko1.33—Sep 26 · 00:25R. Reznychenko2.10R. Cherevko1.67—Sep 26 · 01:55R. Reznychenko2.75V. Melnik1.40—Sep 26 · 03:25R. Reznychenko2.20E. Pismenniy1.61—Sep 26 · 14:25R. Reznychenko3.25Y. Masko1.33—Sep 26 · 15:25R. Reznychenko2.10R. Cherevko1.67—Sep 26 · 16:25R. Reznychenko5.50A. Tuzhylin1.13—Sep 26 · 18:25R. Reznychenko2.75V. Melnik1.40—Sep 26 · 20:25R. Reznychenko2.20E. Pismenniy1.61—
A. Tuzhylin
Sep 25 · 23:25A. Tuzhylin1.50R. Cherevko2.50—Sep 26 · 01:25A. Tuzhylin1.10E. Pismenniy6.50—Sep 26 · 02:55A. Tuzhylin1.36Y. Masko3.00—Sep 26 · 03:55A. Tuzhylin1.53V. Melnik2.38—Sep 26 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.50R. Cherevko2.50—Sep 26 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.10E. Pismenniy6.50—Sep 26 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.13R. Reznychenko5.50—Sep 26 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.36Y. Masko3.00—Sep 26 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.53V. Melnik2.38—
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