TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Pros vs Pavel Chvatal 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ondrej Pros
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111214119811––
Pavel Chvatal
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 82.2% is still 82.2%
Graded at full timePavel Chvatal to win
82.2%
82.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Pros above · Pavel Chvatal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Pavel Chvatal at 82.2%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Pros 0–1 Pavel Chvatal Ondrej Pros has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Chvatal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pros 1420 vs Chvatal 1620
Chvatal
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pros 60% vs Chvatal 80%
Chvatal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pros 40% vs Chvatal 70%
Chvatal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pros -2 · Chvatal +4
Chvatal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Chvatal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPros 4.50 / Chvatal 1.17
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Chvatal)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13186566
Pros4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 37 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Chvatal1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 43 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePros0wins
AwayChvatal1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderChvatal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricProsChvatalP − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.049.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsChvatalBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 260 vs 144 / 26445.8%54.6%119 / 260 vs 144 / 264Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvatalPros 4.50/Chvatal 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Chvatal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chvatal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 18 · 12:05O. Pros4577111192P. Chvatal49111188113
O. Pros10
LSep 24 · 06:05T. Trnka1.531111113O. Pros2.388790LSep 17 · 13:39O. Pros2.2064110J. Ruzicka1.611111133WSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.361051181O. Pros3.0012116113WSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113WSep 17 · 10:35O. Pros1.8011711113R. Neterda1.91811451LSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113LSep 15 · 16:05O. Pros1.809670T. Krcil1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:05O. Pros1.91611281M. Chmelicek1.8011611113WSep 15 · 14:05O. Pros1.801211143P. Pesout1.91107120LSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113
P. Chvatal10
WSep 24 · 06:35P. Chvatal1.6711611113M. Flesar2.10711681WSep 23 · 17:40M. Chmelicek2.25119881P. Chvatal1.5791111113WSep 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115681WSep 23 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.83611711113T. Motacek1.8311911692LSep 23 · 14:05P. Chvatal1.501011811102M. Chmelicek2.50128118123WAug 31 · 13:35M. Holub2.001111481P. Chvatal1.7313511113WAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880LAug 31 · 11:05M. Holub1.83711811113P. Chvatal1.8311911272WAug 31 · 10:35R. Fitl2.25551261P. Chvatal1.57111110113LAug 28 · 13:40P. Chvatal1.73111031192R. Neterda2.00912115113
Upcoming Matches
O. Pros
P. Chvatal
Nothing scheduled
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