TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Henryk Tkaczyk vs Jacek Zelezik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511114311811––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
511114311811––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 27–15 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 15 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Tkaczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-15 in 42
Tkaczyk
Wrong
gap of 12 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1618 vs Zelezik 1473
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Zelezik 60%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Zelezik 50%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk -1 · Zelezik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.54 / Zelezik 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13185366
Tkaczyk1.54
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 402 of 571
Up 2–0, closes it94% 225 of 240
Up 1–0, closes it85% 307 of 360
Zelezik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 82 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk8wins
AwayZelezik2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayZelezik25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk6Zelezik4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S3Tkaczyk8Zelezik2n = 10Tkaczyk took 8 of 10
S4Tkaczyk4Zelezik3n = 7Tkaczyk took 4 of 7
S5Tkaczyk3Zelezik0n = 3Tkaczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykZelezikT − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.933.1+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime1018 / 1507 vs 391 / 72267.6%54.2%1018 / 1507 vs 391 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.54/Zelezik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk331111113J. Zelezik248970
WSep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk331111113J. Zelezik247980
WSep 10 · 19:55H. Tkaczyk5410111111113J. Zelezik4212137552
LSep 8 · 01:50H. Tkaczyk32117771J. Zelezik3851111113
WSep 7 · 18:10H. Tkaczyk3811511113J. Zelezik23511341
WAug 26 · 22:35H. Tkaczyk517111111113J. Zelezik3711621352
WAug 26 · 15:00H. Tkaczyk541181211123J. Zelezik49711147102
WAug 17 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk331111113J. Zelezik145630
WAug 17 · 15:10H. Tkaczyk4691214113J. Zelezik4211101291
LAug 3 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk25361151J. Zelezik3811115113
H. Tkaczyk10
LSep 23 · 18:20M. Karpiuk3.601211711113H. Tkaczyk1.2214511332WSep 21 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.4011611962H. Tkaczyk1.50911711113WSep 21 · 08:30A. Barton2.85115951H. Tkaczyk1.3571111113WSep 21 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.30111711113J. Michalik2.80919671WSep 21 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski6.9054100H. Tkaczyk1.021111123WSep 21 · 04:10W. Stechly5.751111891H. Tkaczyk1.0591311113WSep 21 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.00211791H. Tkaczyk1.0811811113WSep 20 · 02:45A. Fomin1.9011680H. Tkaczyk1.751311113LSep 20 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk1.40126761J. Skorupa2.75101111113WSep 20 · 24:25M. Guzik1.604390H. Tkaczyk2.201111113
J. Zelezik10
LSep 23 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.4011612113J. Zelezik2.759111091WSep 22 · 01:30A. Zmijewski1.8311631132J. Zelezik1.83511119113LSep 22 · 24:50M. Karpiuk3.0011712113J. Zelezik1.369111091WSep 21 · 23:10K. Kwiatkowski2.38781191J. Zelezik1.5311116113WSep 21 · 22:30M. Lewczuk2.10111011582J. Zelezik1.67612711113WSep 21 · 21:00M. Baran2.38511681J. Zelezik1.5311811113WSep 21 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.917930J. Zelezik1.801111113LSep 21 · 19:20M. Karpiuk3.2561111113J. Zelezik1.33117861LSep 21 · 17:20K. Kwiatkowski2.50111164123J. Zelezik1.50941111102LSep 21 · 16:35M. Baran2.381111113J. Zelezik1.532690
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