TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117511911511––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 80.0% is still 80.0%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
80.0%
80.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
117511911511––
H2H Aleksander Barton 1–16 Henryk Tkaczyk Aleksander Barton has won 1 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-16 in 17
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 15 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1075 vs Tkaczyk 1633
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 557 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Tkaczyk 100%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -2 · Tkaczyk +5
Tkaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 2.85 / Tkaczyk 1.35
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13166854
Barton2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back5% 9 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 132
Tkaczyk1.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 403 of 574
Up 2–0, closes it94% 228 of 243
Up 1–0, closes it85% 311 of 364
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton1wins
AwayTkaczyk9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTkaczyk100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton2Tkaczyk8n = 10Tkaczyk took 8 of 10
S2Barton3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S3Barton4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Barton0Tkaczyk7n = 7Tkaczyk took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonTkaczykB − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.841.4−8.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 400 vs 1018 / 151021.5%67.4%86 / 400 vs 1018 / 1510Avg sets wonper match1.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match31.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykBarton 2.85/Tkaczyk 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.2%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 23:30A. Barton36971281H. Tkaczyk43111110113
LSep 8 · 19:10A. Barton28711641H. Tkaczyk4111811113
LSep 2 · 03:55A. Barton411776111H. Tkaczyk50151111133
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Barton35841491H. Tkaczyk45111112113
LAug 18 · 02:20A. Barton55711201072H. Tkaczyk571151812113
LJul 16 · 05:05A. Barton31591341H. Tkaczyk44111111113
LJul 15 · 20:45A. Barton208570H. Tkaczyk331111113
WJul 10 · 01:10A. Barton44111156113H. Tkaczyk3252111132
LJul 9 · 17:30A. Barton1531110H. Tkaczyk351111133
LJun 18 · 21:45A. Barton2367100H. Tkaczyk341111123
A. Barton10
LSep 21 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.76861111113A. Barton1.9011118992LSep 21 · 06:30A. Barton3.8586111192J. Michalik1.15111188113WSep 21 · 05:30W. Stechly1.681031191A. Barton1.8712117113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Slawomir1.1011118992A. Barton4.55881111113LSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113LSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113WSep 9 · 23:45A. Barton3.25101111163M. Baran1.331287141LSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 21 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.30111711113J. Michalik2.80919671WSep 21 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski6.9054100H. Tkaczyk1.021111123WSep 21 · 04:10W. Stechly5.751111891H. Tkaczyk1.0591311113WSep 21 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.00211791H. Tkaczyk1.0811811113WSep 20 · 02:45A. Fomin1.9011680H. Tkaczyk1.751311113LSep 20 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk1.40126761J. Skorupa2.75101111113WSep 20 · 24:25M. Guzik1.604390H. Tkaczyk2.201111113WSep 19 · 23:10D. Pyrek2.956370H. Tkaczyk1.361111113WSep 19 · 21:35A. Kubiak2.501071161H. Tkaczyk1.4612117113LSep 19 · 20:45M. Guzik1.681111113H. Tkaczyk2.056990
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