TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Brandtl Jr vs Josef Vintr 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Josef Vintr
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:21 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeAles Brandtl Jr to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Josef Vintr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ales Brandtl Jr at 61.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 1–0 Josef Vintr Josef Vintr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Jr beat Vintr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jr 1500 vs Vintr 1432
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 100% vs Vintr 60%
Jr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 80% vs Vintr 30%
Jr
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +7 · Vintr +2
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vintr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.45 / Vintr 2.60
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jr)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13185003
Jr1.45
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 40 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Vintr2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJr1wins
AwayVintr0wins
Jr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJrVintrJ − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.034.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVintrBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 543 vs 43 / 8347.3%51.8%257 / 543 vs 43 / 83Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.45/Vintr 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vintr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 23 · 14:20A. Jr4311119123J. Vintr347611101
A. Jr10
WSep 23 · 16:50Z. Dusek2.105780A. Jr1.671111113WSep 23 · 15:50A. Jr1.57114911113M. Cesak2.2591111782WSep 23 · 14:20J. Vintr2.067611101A. Jr1.5511119123WSep 20 · 18:30A. Jr2.2012119113J. Dohnal1.611041191WSep 20 · 16:55T. Rein1.61117381A. Jr2.2031111113WSep 20 · 16:25J. Dohnal1.401111561A. Jr2.7561311113WSep 20 · 15:25A. Jr2.401111711133B. Budik1.51513116112LSep 20 · 14:30L. Rek1.401111113A. Jr2.807780LSep 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.638111271L. Rek1.4411714113WSep 20 · 11:55C. Kratochvil1.7311112952A. Jr2.00981111113
J. Vintr10
WSep 23 · 16:20J. Vintr2.008111411113M. Cesak1.7311716972WSep 23 · 15:20J. Vintr1.80913811113Z. Dusek1.91111111592LSep 23 · 14:20J. Vintr2.067611101A. Jr1.5511119123LSep 21 · 13:30S. Matousch1.831112123J. Vintr1.83510100WSep 21 · 12:50J. Vintr2.2512155113T. Jr1.5710131181LSep 21 · 11:20S. Matousch1.91612127113J. Vintr1.801110101172LSep 21 · 10:50M. Kolbusovsky3.00119115113J. Vintr1.3671181142LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.