TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Ales Brandtl Jr
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Ales Brandtl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 9–6 Ales Brandtl Jr Ales Brandtl Jr has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rek beat Jr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.40 / Jr 2.80
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Rek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13164748
Rek1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 68 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 50 of 66
Jr2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek6wins
AwayJr4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek71.4%5 of 7
AwayJr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek7Jr3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S2Rek6Jr4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Rek4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Rek4Jr2n = 6Rek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekJrR − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.833.7+1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 253 vs 252 / 53960.1%46.8%152 / 253 vs 252 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.40/Jr 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 13:25L. Rek4311714113A. Jr388111271
WSep 18 · 13:55L. Rek341211113A. Jr2210660
WSep 18 · 11:50L. Rek3711114113A. Jr33681181
WSep 6 · 14:04L. Rek331111113A. Jr217680
LSep 6 · 10:55L. Rek4313115772A. Jr521181111113
LSep 5 · 11:25L. Rek238780A. Jr331111113
WAug 31 · 07:25L. Rek4061112113A. Jr321181031
LAug 9 · 21:55L. Rek218580A. Jr331111113
WAug 9 · 19:25L. Rek4111118113A. Jr32961161
LJun 26 · 16:55L. Rek33116881A. Jr4181111113
L. Rek10
WSep 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.638111271L. Rek1.4411714113WSep 20 · 12:25L. Rek2.0011811133Z. Dusek1.737117111WSep 20 · 10:55C. Kratochvil2.0061112742L. Rek1.731191011113WSep 18 · 13:55L. Rek1.501211113A. Jr2.4510660WSep 18 · 12:50T. Jr3.0061161132L. Rek1.36115110113WSep 18 · 11:50L. Rek1.5711114113A. Jr2.25681181WSep 18 · 10:20P. Kubat2.0041111462L. Rek1.73118611113LSep 13 · 14:25L. Rek2.255540J. Sebl1.551111113LSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280WSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152
A. Jr10
LSep 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.638111271L. Rek1.4411714113WSep 20 · 11:55C. Kratochvil1.7311112952A. Jr2.00981111113WSep 20 · 11:25Z. Dusek1.839550A. Jr1.831111113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Jr2.105111191V. Koutnik1.6511138113WSep 19 · 17:25A. Jr2.2511116113V. Koutnik1.57741151WSep 19 · 15:55J. Cousin1.4451113972A. Jr2.631191111113LSep 19 · 15:25C. Kratochvil1.73129118113A. Jr2.00101181192LSep 18 · 13:55L. Rek1.501211113A. Jr2.4510660WSep 18 · 12:20P. Kubat2.6310820A. Jr1.441211113LSep 18 · 11:50L. Rek1.5711114113A. Jr2.25681181
Upcoming Matches
L. Rek
Nothing scheduled
A. Jr
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