TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dominik Oborny vs Alfred Rinka 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118311711––
Alfred Rinka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeAlfred Rinka to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Alfred Rinka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Alfred Rinka at 63.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 2–4 Alfred Rinka Dominik Oborny has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rinka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Rinka
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1580 vs Rinka 1656
Rinka
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 20% vs Rinka 100%
Rinka
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 60% vs Rinka 80%
Rinka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +1 · Rinka +5
Rinka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rinka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 2.25 / Rinka 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Rinka)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183429
Oborny2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 50 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Rinka1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 20 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOborny2wins
AwayRinka4wins
4 of 6 to a deciderRinka leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny33.3%1 of 3
AwayRinka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny3Rinka3n = 6split evenly
S2Oborny3Rinka3n = 6split evenly
S3Oborny2Rinka4n = 6Rinka took 4 of 6
S4Oborny1Rinka4n = 5Rinka took 4 of 5
S5Oborny2Rinka2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricObornyRinkaO − RBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.244.3−4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyRinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 624 vs 42 / 7951.9%53.2%324 / 624 vs 42 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaOborny 2.25/Rinka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Rinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 24 · 07:30D. Oborny29811371A. Rinka4111811113
LSep 20 · 08:00D. Oborny42111161132A. Rinka53913119113
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Oborny4212611762A. Rinka461011311113
WAug 30 · 15:30D. Oborny48111187113A. Rinka4095111142
WAug 22 · 08:59D. Oborny544151112123A. Rinka521113414102
LAug 22 · 06:00D. Oborny2681080A. Rinka341112113
D. Oborny10
WSep 24 · 06:30J. Snr1.6111491162D. Oborny2.20711115113LSep 23 · 08:58M. Heczko2.10911112113D. Oborny1.6711861152LSep 23 · 08:00J. Mikula1.9111115113D. Oborny1.80821191LSep 23 · 07:00M. Heczko1.9114615113D. Oborny1.8012111391LSep 23 · 06:30D. Oborny1.83119111102V. Adamczyk1.83511911123WSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171
A. Rinka10
WSep 24 · 06:00A. Rinka2.1061111113J. Mikula1.67117651WSep 22 · 09:30A. Rinka1.851113113P. Danko1.8591180WSep 22 · 08:30A. Rinka1.501211113D. Machander2.5010940WSep 22 · 07:00A. Rinka2.00116811113P. Danko1.7391111852WSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113LSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123LSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113WSep 15 · 12:58A. Rinka1.6711115113J. Levicky2.10741151
Upcoming Matches
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A. Rinka
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