TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alfred Rinka vs Jiri Mikula 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117116115––
Jiri Mikula
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeAlfred Rinka to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Jiri Mikula below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Alfred Rinka at 58.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 1–0 Jiri Mikula Jiri Mikula has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mikula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1646 vs Mikula 1511
Rinka
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 80% vs Mikula 60%
Rinka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 80% vs Mikula 30%
Rinka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka +4 · Mikula -1
Rinka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mikula) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 2.10 / Mikula 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Mikula)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182920
Rinka2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Mikula1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRinka1wins
AwayMikula0wins
Rinka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRinkaMikulaR − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.029.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaMikulaBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 78 vs 30 / 8052.6%37.5%41 / 78 vs 30 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaRinka 2.10/Mikula 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 24 · 06:00A. Rinka3961111113J. Mikula29117651
A. Rinka10
WSep 22 · 09:30A. Rinka1.851113113P. Danko1.8591180WSep 22 · 08:30A. Rinka1.501211113D. Machander2.5010940WSep 22 · 07:00A. Rinka2.00116811113P. Danko1.7391111852WSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113LSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123LSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113WSep 15 · 12:58A. Rinka1.6711115113J. Levicky2.10741151WSep 15 · 12:00A. Rinka1.73115911113J. Levicky2.0061111772
J. Mikula10
LSep 24 · 07:00J. Mikula2.256570J. Snr1.571111113LSep 23 · 09:30J. Mikula1.8361115592V. Adamczyk1.831171311113WSep 23 · 08:00J. Mikula1.9111115113D. Oborny1.80821191WSep 23 · 07:30V. Adamczyk1.8375111192J. Mikula1.83111199113WSep 23 · 06:00J. Mikula1.8311137113M. Heczko1.838111141LMay 17 · 09:05D. Machander1.83712119113J. Mikula1.83111091192LMay 17 · 08:30J. Mikula1.731113113132D. Machander2.00815911153LMay 17 · 07:00J. Mikula2.1012711932E. Rychlik1.671011911113LMay 17 · 06:00R. Skacelik2.6311115113J. Mikula1.44361181LMay 15 · 09:30J. Snr1.6114611183J. Mikula2.2012116161
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