TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Mikula vs Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jiri Mikula
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511711––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Mikula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Mikula above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Mikula at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Mikula 1–4 Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr Jiri Mikula has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:14What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Snr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Snr
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1511 vs Snr 1582
Snr
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 60% vs Snr 20%
Mikula
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 30% vs Snr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -2 · Snr -4
Snr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 2.25 / Snr 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Snr)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183430
Mikula2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 8 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Snr1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMikula1wins
AwaySnr4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSnr leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikulan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySnr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula1Snr4n = 5Snr took 4 of 5
S2Mikula2Snr3n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
S3Mikula1Snr4n = 5Snr took 4 of 5
S4Mikula0Snr3n = 3Snr took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricMikulaSnrM − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.639.8−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 80 vs 124 / 24637.5%50.4%30 / 80 vs 124 / 246Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrMikula 2.25/Snr 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 24 · 07:00J. Mikula186570J. Snr331111113
LMay 15 · 09:30J. Mikula4512116161J. Snr4914611183
WMay 15 · 07:30J. Mikula551311119113J. Snr4015521172
LApr 10 · 06:30J. Mikula371287101J. Snr44101111123
LJan 8 · 09:30J. Mikula183780J. Snr331111113
J. Mikula10
LSep 24 · 06:00A. Rinka2.1061111113J. Mikula1.67117651LSep 23 · 09:30J. Mikula1.8361115592V. Adamczyk1.831171311113WSep 23 · 08:00J. Mikula1.9111115113D. Oborny1.80821191WSep 23 · 07:30V. Adamczyk1.8375111192J. Mikula1.83111199113WSep 23 · 06:00J. Mikula1.8311137113M. Heczko1.838111141LMay 17 · 09:05D. Machander1.83712119113J. Mikula1.83111091192LMay 17 · 08:30J. Mikula1.731113113132D. Machander2.00815911153LMay 17 · 07:00J. Mikula2.1012711932E. Rychlik1.671011911113LMay 17 · 06:00R. Skacelik2.6311115113J. Mikula1.44361181LMay 15 · 09:30J. Snr1.6114611183J. Mikula2.2012116161
J. Snr10
LSep 24 · 06:30J. Snr1.6111491162D. Oborny2.20711115113LSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151WSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WMay 15 · 09:30J. Snr1.6114611183J. Mikula2.2012116161
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