TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr vs Dominik Oborny 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117411911115611
Dominik Oborny
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Snr to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Snr above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr at 54.6%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 0–1 Dominik Oborny Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Snr 1582 vs Oborny 1580
Snr
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Oborny 20%
Snr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Oborny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -3 · Oborny -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.61 / Oborny 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Snr)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182723
Snr1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Oborny2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 50 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSnr0wins
AwayOborny1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderOborny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSnrObornyS − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.045.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 246 vs 324 / 62450.4%51.9%124 / 246 vs 324 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.61/Oborny 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 24 · 06:30J. Snr4111491162D. Oborny45711115113
J. Snr10
WSep 24 · 07:00J. Mikula2.256570J. Snr1.571111113LSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151WSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271
D. Oborny10
LSep 24 · 07:30D. Oborny2.25811371A. Rinka1.5711811113LSep 23 · 08:58M. Heczko2.10911112113D. Oborny1.6711861152LSep 23 · 08:00J. Mikula1.9111115113D. Oborny1.80821191LSep 23 · 07:00M. Heczko1.9114615113D. Oborny1.8012111391LSep 23 · 06:30D. Oborny1.83119111102V. Adamczyk1.83511911123WSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171
Upcoming Matches
J. Snr
Nothing scheduled
D. Oborny
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