TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vojtech Koutnik vs Daniel Zelezny 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111141181210––
Daniel Zelezny
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 72 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 57.4%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 11–6 Daniel Zelezny Daniel Zelezny has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zelezny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Koutnik
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1612 vs Zelezny 1554
Koutnik
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 60% vs Zelezny 80%
Zelezny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 70% vs Zelezny 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik -1 · Zelezny +4
Zelezny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.83 / Zelezny 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koutnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13176833
Koutnik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Zelezny1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik6wins
AwayZelezny4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoutnik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik80%4 of 5
AwayZelezny60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik5Zelezny5n = 10split evenly
S2Koutnik6Zelezny4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik3Zelezny7n = 10Zelezny took 7 of 10
S4Koutnik5Zelezny4n = 9Koutnik took 5 of 9
S5Koutnik3Zelezny1n = 4Koutnik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikZeleznyK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.039.5+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 366 vs 114 / 21548.4%53%177 / 366 vs 114 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.83/Zelezny 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 16 · 16:55V. Koutnik511161011133D. Zelezny48511129112
WMar 29 · 09:25V. Koutnik4211118123D. Zelezny317311101
WMar 11 · 18:25V. Koutnik47118115123D. Zelezny45611711102
LMar 11 · 15:20V. Koutnik37811991D. Zelezny3711411113
WMar 9 · 16:55V. Koutnik511081111113D. Zelezny4512117782
LFeb 28 · 18:25V. Koutnik4411118592D. Zelezny39421111113
WFeb 16 · 16:55V. Koutnik44111111113D. Zelezny34137771
LNov 4 · 19:15V. Koutnik312172101D. Zelezny49111511123
WNov 4 · 18:10V. Koutnik4211119113D. Zelezny34691181
LOct 4 · 20:25V. Koutnik216960D. Zelezny331111113
V. Koutnik10
LSep 22 · 15:20V. Koutnik1.61611491J. Sebl2.2011511113WSep 22 · 14:20V. Koutnik1.5713115143T. Rein2.2511311121WSep 20 · 10:34V. Koutnik1.831111113Z. Muhlhauser1.834580LSep 20 · 09:25V. Koutnik1.701448111J. Cousin2.02121111133WSep 20 · 07:55J. Sebl1.8591390V. Koutnik1.851115113WSep 20 · 07:25Z. Muhlhauser1.9511711952V. Koutnik1.74911311113WSep 19 · 18:30A. Jr2.105111191V. Koutnik1.6511138113LSep 19 · 17:25A. Jr2.2511116113V. Koutnik1.57741151WSep 19 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.4411711113C. Kratochvil2.63911951WSep 19 · 14:55J. Cousin1.9151150V. Koutnik1.801113113
D. Zelezny10
WSep 22 · 15:50T. Rein2.63614811112D. Zelezny1.441112119133WSep 22 · 14:50D. Zelezny2.10981211113J. Sebl1.67111110872WSep 15 · 17:50T. Rein2.40920491D. Zelezny1.50111811113WSep 15 · 16:20T. Jr2.00119111122D. Zelezny1.73611913113LSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941WSep 15 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.361111123A. Jr3.0097100WSep 13 · 13:55L. Jirka2.07118641D. Zelezny1.6781111113WSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280LSep 13 · 11:55L. Jirka2.20111156123D. Zelezny1.61671111102LSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.