TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Stukalov vs Serhii Kovalenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Serhii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 55.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 3–1 Serhii Kovalenko Serhii Kovalenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stukalov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1195 vs Kovalenko 1178
Stukalov
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Kovalenko 60%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Kovalenko 60%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Kovalenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stukalov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.57 / Kovalenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stukalov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203976
Stukalov1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 59 of 76
Kovalenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back33% 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStukalov3wins
AwayKovalenko1wins
Stukalov leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKovalenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov3Kovalenko1n = 4Stukalov took 3 of 4
S2Stukalov3Kovalenko1n = 4Stukalov took 3 of 4
S3Stukalov2Kovalenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Stukalov2Kovalenko1n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStukalovKovalenkoS − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.029.2+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 842 vs 31 / 7349.6%42.5%418 / 842 vs 31 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.57/Kovalenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 27 · 07:35V. Stukalov331111113S. Kovalenko217860
WApr 26 · 08:05V. Stukalov4211119113S. Kovalenko27481141
LMar 22 · 16:40V. Stukalov371110881S. Kovalenko4171211113
WDec 28 · 17:40V. Stukalov3631111113S. Kovalenko28117281
V. Stukalov10
WSep 27 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001111113S. Semenets1.739870LSep 24 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.63711116112V. Korniichuk1.44118511133LSep 24 · 09:00V. Mukhin1.22111195113V. Stukalov4.0066111152LSep 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov2.75312891M. Khalenko1.40111011113WSep 24 · 07:00O. Miklukha2.38591861V. Stukalov1.53111116113WSep 24 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.00111310113S. Semenets1.738111291WSep 23 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.381111113D. Khavanskyi1.535340LSep 23 · 09:35V. Korniichuk1.331161110113V. Stukalov3.2541131272LSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113LSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101
S. Kovalenko10
LSep 27 · 06:05S. Kovalenko1.91811731V. Nechai1.8011711113WSep 20 · 17:10V. Kondratenko1.40119971S. Kovalenko2.7581111113WSep 20 · 16:10V. Mykhalchenko1.80117671S. Kovalenko1.9161111113LSep 20 · 14:40O. Stopin1.6511102S. Kovalenko2.05480LSep 20 · 12:40Y. Korotin1.50118118143S. Kovalenko2.50511711122WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko1.3611125113K. Vernudin3.006101161LAug 22 · 10:20O. Ponomarenko1.8311511113S. Kovalenko1.83711691LAug 22 · 09:20S. Kovalenko1.5711514792M. Tkalich2.254111211113WAug 22 · 08:20D. Kunchurov2.388790S. Kovalenko1.531111113
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