TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Korniichuk vs Vladyslav Stukalov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1146111131012117
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 86 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 69.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 31–23 Vladyslav Stukalov Vladyslav Stukalov has won 23 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-23 in 54
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 8 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1367 vs Stukalov 1135
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 80% vs Stukalov 0%
Korniichuk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 70% vs Stukalov 20%
Korniichuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk -1 · Stukalov -6
Stukalov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Korniichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.33 / Stukalov 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Korniichuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13179909
Korniichuk1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 60 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Stukalov3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorniichuk7wins
AwayStukalov3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk75%6 of 8
AwayStukalovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk8Stukalov2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S2Korniichuk7Stukalov3n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S3Korniichuk7Stukalov3n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S4Korniichuk3Stukalov4n = 7Stukalov took 4 of 7
S5Korniichuk1Stukalov2n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorniichukStukalovK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.131.5+9.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 517 vs 414 / 83655.5%49.5%287 / 517 vs 414 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.33/Stukalov 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 11:35V. Korniichuk501310115113V. Stukalov49111261192
WSep 11 · 09:05V. Korniichuk4211119113V. Stukalov23281121
LSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk31116861V. Stukalov3961111113
LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk4571111882V. Stukalov48119611113
WSep 1 · 07:35V. Korniichuk4111118113V. Stukalov27661141
LAug 24 · 11:05V. Korniichuk52111016872V. Stukalov557121411113
WJun 10 · 07:00V. Korniichuk331111113V. Stukalov70430
WMay 22 · 09:00V. Korniichuk331111113V. Stukalov103250
WMay 19 · 11:35V. Korniichuk331111113V. Stukalov135530
WApr 27 · 09:35V. Korniichuk51121315113V. Stukalov4414111361
V. Korniichuk10
LSep 23 · 08:05V. Korniichuk1.44681171S. Semenets2.6311115113WSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242WSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951WSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113WSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113LSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133LSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 11 · 11:35K. Riazanovskyi1.73117811V. Korniichuk2.0071111113WSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123
V. Stukalov10
LSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113LSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101LSep 23 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.00411811S. Semenets1.7311811113LSep 22 · 16:40S. Semenets1.731411113V. Stukalov2.0012720LSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113LSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113
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