TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Stukalov vs Mykhailo Khalenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511116911––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 67.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 31–32 Mykhailo Khalenko Vladyslav Stukalov has won 31 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-32 in 63
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1142 vs Khalenko 1308
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 0% vs Khalenko 40%
Khalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Khalenko 60%
Khalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -5 · Khalenko -2
Stukalov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.63 / Khalenko 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Khalenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180026
Stukalov2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 85
Khalenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 49 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov1wins
AwayKhalenko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhalenko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov33.3%1 of 3
AwayKhalenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S2Stukalov2Khalenko8n = 10Khalenko took 8 of 10
S3Stukalov4Khalenko6n = 10Khalenko took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov2Khalenko2n = 4split evenly
S5Stukalov0Khalenko4n = 4Khalenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhalenkoS − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.238.9−7.7per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 835 vs 184 / 36149.6%51%414 / 835 vs 184 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoStukalov 2.63/Khalenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov178180M. Khalenko331111113
LSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov229670M. Khalenko331111113
LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov4411911492M. Khalenko43111911113
WAug 30 · 15:40V. Stukalov361213113M. Khalenko29101180
LAug 28 · 09:05V. Stukalov3961161152M. Khalenko50118119113
LAug 24 · 09:05V. Stukalov2061040M. Khalenko341112113
LAug 21 · 05:35V. Stukalov21010110M. Khalenko361112133
LAug 19 · 08:00V. Stukalov45119111132M. Khalenko46611513113
LAug 18 · 08:00V. Stukalov249960M. Khalenko331111113
LAug 1 · 08:30V. Stukalov44471112102M. Khalenko521111810123
V. Stukalov10
LSep 23 · 09:35V. Korniichuk1.331161110113V. Stukalov3.2541131272LSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101LSep 23 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.00411811S. Semenets1.7311811113LSep 22 · 16:40S. Semenets1.731411113V. Stukalov2.0012720LSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113LSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.251111113V. Stukalov3.756590
M. Khalenko10
LSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242LSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182WSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113LSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113WSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541WSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113
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