TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Filip Fryml vs David Sabuka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113211711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Fryml above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held David Sabuka at 55.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Filip Fryml 1–3 David Sabuka Filip Fryml has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sabuka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fryml 1331 vs Sabuka 1363
Sabuka
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fryml 40% vs Sabuka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fryml 60% vs Sabuka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fryml +1 · Sabuka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFryml 2.10 / Sabuka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13190581
Fryml2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Sabuka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 62 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFryml1wins
AwaySabuka3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSabuka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFrymln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySabuka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fryml1Sabuka3n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S2Fryml1Sabuka3n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S3Fryml1Sabuka3n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricFrymlSabukaF − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match29.837.0−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrymlSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 155 vs 246 / 51450.3%47.9%78 / 155 vs 246 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaFryml 2.10/Sabuka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 25 · 07:00F. Fryml2011270D. Sabuka351311113
WSep 14 · 11:30F. Fryml4111127113D. Sabuka377101191
LAug 12 · 09:03F. Fryml154560D. Sabuka331111113
LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml43651111102D. Sabuka43111118123
F. Fryml10
WSep 25 · 06:00F. Fryml2.251111113L. Krutina1.576650LSep 23 · 08:39M. Holub1.9111911113F. Fryml1.80511861LSep 23 · 07:30L. Krutina1.7371111113F. Fryml2.00115781LSep 23 · 07:00F. Fryml2.00511611152P. Moulis1.73116119173WSep 23 · 06:00F. Fryml1.9151111113M. Holub1.80118351LSep 14 · 13:03M. Holub1.806131111113F. Fryml1.9111159672WSep 14 · 11:30D. Sabuka1.447101191F. Fryml2.6311127113WSep 14 · 11:00F. Fryml2.2512913113M. Holub1.5710111191WSep 14 · 10:00F. Fryml1.9111128113J. Jnr1.805101171WSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113
D. Sabuka10
WSep 25 · 05:30M. Holub1.611081181D. Sabuka2.2012116113LSep 23 · 12:33D. Sabuka1.5071111862R. Slunecko2.50118711113LSep 23 · 12:00M. Melisek1.3611116113D. Sabuka3.00761161LSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.501121191D. Sabuka1.5013119113LSep 20 · 21:04M. Cmil1.801111123D. Sabuka1.9189100WSep 20 · 19:30D. Sabuka1.33614118113J. Mares3.25111281192WSep 20 · 18:30D. Sabuka2.009111111113M. Cmil1.7311413972WSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141LSep 14 · 11:30D. Sabuka1.447101191F. Fryml2.6311127113
Upcoming Matches
F. Fryml
Nothing scheduled
D. Sabuka
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