TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611911118115511
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 68.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 77–47 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 47 of their 124 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-47 in 124
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 30 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1491 vs Miroshnychenko 1344
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Miroshnychenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +1 · Miroshnychenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.44 / Miroshnychenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13185303
Kuzmenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 95 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it80% 73 of 91
Miroshnychenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko7wins
AwayMiroshnychenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%4 of 4
AwayMiroshnychenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmenko6Miroshnychenko3n = 9Kuzmenko took 6 of 9
S5Kuzmenko2Miroshnychenko1n = 3Kuzmenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoMiroshnychenkoK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.2+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 936 vs 306 / 85841.9%35.7%392 / 936 vs 306 / 858Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko3411112101S. Miroshnychenko4513911123
WSep 15 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko3511211113S. Miroshnychenko34611891
WSep 3 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko134630
WSep 1 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko4281111123S. Miroshnychenko311182101
WAug 24 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko511071211113S. Miroshnychenko45121110752
LAug 21 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko32581181S. Miroshnychenko3911116113
WAug 18 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko4211119113S. Miroshnychenko31481181
WAug 14 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko516111110133S. Miroshnychenko45118312112
WAug 11 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko44111012113S. Miroshnychenko333121081
LAug 10 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko4581191162S. Miroshnychenko46116117113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113LSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111WSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113LSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780LSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6785111162D. Kuzmenko2.10111184113LSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113LSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113LSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471WSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113LSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171
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