TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Kurylenko vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111161181012611
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 97–68 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 68 of their 165 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
97-68 in 165
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 29 in 165, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1525 vs Kuzmenko 1479
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 80% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Kurylenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 70% vs Kuzmenko 30%
Kurylenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +3 · Kuzmenko -2
Kurylenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.83 / Kuzmenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kurylenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172296
Kurylenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kuzmenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko4wins
AwayKuzmenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko80%4 of 5
AwayKuzmenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurylenko4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Kurylenko6Kuzmenko4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurylenko2Kuzmenko3n = 5Kuzmenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoKuzmenkoKurylenko − KuzmenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.131.1+2.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1004 vs 391 / 93949.5%41.6%497 / 1004 vs 391 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.83/Kuzmenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko331111113D. Kuzmenko238780
LSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2578100D. Kuzmenko341111123
LSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko26511551D. Kuzmenko4211911113
WSep 14 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3911611113D. Kuzmenko30711571
LSep 11 · 05:30O. Kurylenko2511770D. Kuzmenko351311113
WSep 7 · 05:30O. Kurylenko331111113D. Kuzmenko185670
LSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko48119711102D. Kuzmenko42511113123
WSep 2 · 11:00O. Kurylenko331111113D. Kuzmenko142930
LAug 27 · 05:30O. Kurylenko30391171D. Kuzmenko3711114113
LAug 25 · 05:30O. Kurylenko399711121D. Kuzmenko3611110143
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780WSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113LSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113LSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8078100D. Kuzmenko1.911111123
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111WSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113LSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780LSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6785111162D. Kuzmenko2.10111184113LSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772WSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8078100D. Kuzmenko1.911111123
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