TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111311811511––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 78 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 85.6%
78 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 72–7 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 7 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:52What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-7 in 79
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 65 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1683 vs Miroshnychenko 1389
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Hubenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 60% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Hubenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +3 · Miroshnychenko +1
Hubenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.17 / Miroshnychenko 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13185242
Hubenko1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 247 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it83% 174 of 210
Miroshnychenko4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayMiroshnychenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hubenko7Miroshnychenko1n = 8Hubenko took 7 of 8
S5Hubenko2Miroshnychenko1n = 3Hubenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoMiroshnychenkoH − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.436.7+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime566 / 1051 vs 308 / 86053.9%35.8%566 / 1051 vs 308 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.234.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.17/Miroshnychenko 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.6%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko34813851S. Miroshnychenko44111111113
WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko51191110113S. Miroshnychenko441781271
WSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko43111110113S. Miroshnychenko25481211
WAug 21 · 05:00M. Hubenko49571111153S. Miroshnychenko51111197132
WAug 20 · 10:00M. Hubenko381116113S. Miroshnychenko2851490
WAug 12 · 07:30M. Hubenko4111811113S. Miroshnychenko33911491
WAug 11 · 08:30M. Hubenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko166550
WAug 8 · 12:30M. Hubenko3811511113S. Miroshnychenko30711571
WAug 5 · 04:30M. Hubenko526111014113S. Miroshnychenko48118121252
LAug 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko4511781182S. Miroshnychenko48611119113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 23 · 11:00M. Hubenko1.4451111113S. Maliuk2.63118931WSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 24 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko1.4469111152S. Miroshnychenko2.63111185113LSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113LSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471WSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113LSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171
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