TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Korniichuk vs Mykhailo Khalenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012141212101012114
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 107 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 78.5%
107 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 15–1 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-1 in 16
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1367 vs Khalenko 1308
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 80% vs Khalenko 60%
Korniichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 70% vs Khalenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk +3 · Khalenko -1
Korniichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Korniichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.30 / Khalenko 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Korniichuk)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13179819
Korniichuk1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 60 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Khalenko3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 61 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorniichuk9wins
AwayKhalenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk100%6 of 6
AwayKhalenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk6Khalenko4n = 10Korniichuk took 6 of 10
S2Korniichuk8Khalenko2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S3Korniichuk9Khalenko1n = 10Korniichuk took 9 of 10
S4Korniichuk4Khalenko1n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
S5Korniichuk2Khalenko1n = 3Korniichuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorniichukKhalenkoKorniichuk − KhalenkoBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.732.9+7.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 517 vs 184 / 36155.5%51%287 / 517 vs 184 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.30/Khalenko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk5710141210113M. Khalenko501212101242
WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk331111113M. Khalenko259970
LAug 24 · 05:05V. Korniichuk4448151162M. Khalenko511111135113
WMay 22 · 04:30V. Korniichuk381111163M. Khalenko2996140
WApr 24 · 04:30V. Korniichuk351113113M. Khalenko2061130
WApr 15 · 09:35V. Korniichuk341211113M. Khalenko2310580
WJan 30 · 11:40V. Korniichuk4291111113M. Khalenko34115991
WJan 14 · 12:30V. Korniichuk45551111133M. Khalenko48111187112
WJan 12 · 12:00V. Korniichuk331111113M. Khalenko130580
WJan 5 · 06:35V. Korniichuk4615119113M. Khalenko361331191
V. Korniichuk10
LSep 23 · 08:05V. Korniichuk1.44681171S. Semenets2.6311115113WSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951WSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113WSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113LSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133LSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 11 · 11:35K. Riazanovskyi1.73117811V. Korniichuk2.0071111113WSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113
M. Khalenko10
LSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182WSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113LSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113WSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541WSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113WSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113
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