TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Hyza vs Adam Kosacky 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116119114––
Adam Kosacky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 54.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 25–18 Adam Kosacky Adam Kosacky has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kosacky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-18 in 43
Hyza
Correct
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1593 vs Kosacky 1673
Kosacky
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 0% vs Kosacky 40%
Kosacky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 20% vs Kosacky 50%
Kosacky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza -6 · Kosacky -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosacky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosacky form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.83 / Kosacky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosacky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13176829
Hyza1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kosacky1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza5wins
AwayKosacky5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza80%4 of 5
AwayKosacky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza5Kosacky5n = 10split evenly
S2Hyza6Kosacky4n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10
S3Hyza5Kosacky5n = 10split evenly
S4Hyza3Kosacky4n = 7Kosacky took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaKosackyH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.735.1+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 414 vs 328 / 58855.8%55.8%231 / 414 vs 328 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosackyHyza 1.83/Kosacky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 7 · 17:25D. Hyza44111111113A. Kosacky32491361
WApr 30 · 21:25D. Hyza331111113A. Kosacky217770
LApr 8 · 22:05D. Hyza31711671A. Kosacky4211911113
WApr 8 · 18:55D. Hyza4312911113A. Kosacky381011891
LMar 24 · 19:55D. Hyza341175111A. Kosacky4271111133
LMar 17 · 22:25D. Hyza2671180A. Kosacky351113113
WMar 12 · 20:55D. Hyza331111113A. Kosacky227690
LMar 4 · 23:25D. Hyza4361112141A. Kosacky5011914163
LMar 4 · 21:55D. Hyza371381151A. Kosacky4015113113
WFeb 18 · 22:55D. Hyza43101111113A. Kosacky29126651
D. Hyza10
WSep 22 · 17:53D. Hyza1.75711711113A. Kosacky1.9511911672LSep 22 · 15:55D. Hyza2.5011115982P. Vanek1.50771111113LSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143LSep 21 · 17:58J. Kocab1.73111011113D. Hyza2.00912561LSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Hyza1.806980J. Kocab1.911111113LSep 21 · 14:55D. Hyza1.9181070P. Benes1.801112113WSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101LSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141LSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850
A. Kosacky10
LSep 22 · 17:53D. Hyza1.75711711113A. Kosacky1.9511911672LSep 22 · 16:25M. Brozek2.201111113A. Kosacky1.619550LSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky2.50931191P. Vanek1.5011115113LSep 16 · 18:35J. Volek3.4071511133A. Kosacky1.3011136111WSep 16 · 17:25M. Sulc4.0053131192A. Kosacky1.221111117113WSep 16 · 16:25A. Kosacky1.441112113J. Hrncir2.6361070LSep 16 · 14:55J. Volek3.751111113A. Kosacky1.259680WSep 13 · 22:00O. Fiklik2.6091141182A. Kosacky1.45116118113WSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292LSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752
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