TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139338
Played Sep 16Finished
Jiri Volek
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Adam Kosacky
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Volek above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 72.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Volek 0–4 Adam Kosacky Jiri Volek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kosacky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Kosacky
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volek 1467 vs Kosacky 1741
Kosacky
Wrong
both rated, 274 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volek 0% vs Kosacky 60%
Kosacky
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volek 20% vs Kosacky 70%
Kosacky
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volek -5 · Kosacky +2
Volek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosacky) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosacky form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolek 3.75 / Kosacky 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Kosacky)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13139338
Volek3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kosacky1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVolek0wins
AwayKosacky4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKosacky leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKosacky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volek1Kosacky3n = 4Kosacky took 3 of 4
S2Volek1Kosacky3n = 4Kosacky took 3 of 4
S3Volek2Kosacky2n = 4split evenly
S4Volek1Kosacky2n = 3Kosacky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVolekKosackyV − KBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.845.2−8.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolekKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 89 vs 348 / 62643.8%55.6%39 / 89 vs 348 / 626Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosackyVolek 3.75/Kosacky 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 23 · 18:25J. Volek24141181A. Kosacky3911116113
LSep 23 · 16:55J. Volek217590A. Kosacky331111113
LAug 14 · 17:55J. Volek53611117182A. Kosacky55117611203
LAug 14 · 17:25J. Volek49117611610A. Kosacky54611117812
J. Volek10
LSep 10 · 18:00J. Hrncir1.721111113J. Volek2.007560LSep 10 · 17:59K. Hrnic1.831111113J. Volek1.837560LSep 10 · 16:55J. Volek2.005121131M. Sochor1.7311149113LSep 10 · 15:55J. Volek2.2558111182M. Sulc1.57111145113LSep 10 · 14:55J. Volek1.839111071J. Hrncir1.8311312113LAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113WAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682LAug 24 · 14:55J. Volek2.3871112962M. Sulc1.531161011113WAug 18 · 18:35J. Volek1.50116211123M. Dvorak2.50711117102
A. Kosacky10
WSep 13 · 22:00O. Fiklik2.6091141182A. Kosacky1.45116118113WSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292LSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752WSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113LJun 7 · 18:30A. Kosacky1.361305111J. Kocab3.00111111133LJun 7 · 17:25A. Kosacky2.00491361D. Hyza1.73111111113WJun 7 · 15:55J. Kocab3.257680A. Kosacky1.331111113WJun 7 · 15:25M. Brozek2.207490A. Kosacky1.611111113WJun 4 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.4071211113M. Kulisek2.751110781WJun 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7511870A. Kosacky1.401311113
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