TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Hyza vs Petr Vanek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117117511911811
Petr Vanek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timePetr Vanek to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Petr Vanek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Petr Vanek at 63.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 11–10 Petr Vanek Petr Vanek has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1606 vs Vanek 1737
Vanek
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 0% vs Vanek 60%
Vanek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 30% vs Vanek 50%
Vanek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza -5 · Vanek +2
Hyza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 2.50 / Vanek 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Vanek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13176687
Hyza2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 19 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Vanek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 50 days ago (Aug 03) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza5wins
AwayVanek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza100%3 of 3
AwayVanek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza3Vanek7n = 10Vanek took 7 of 10
S2Hyza5Vanek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hyza1Vanek9n = 10Vanek took 9 of 10
S4Hyza3Vanek4n = 7Vanek took 4 of 7
S5Hyza5Vanek0n = 5Hyza took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaVanekH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.841.3−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaVanekBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 413 vs 197 / 37255.9%53%231 / 413 vs 197 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanekHyza 2.50/Vanek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Vanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 25 · 14:50D. Hyza172960P. Vanek331111113
LJun 9 · 15:25D. Hyza205690P. Vanek331111113
LMay 13 · 15:25D. Hyza247890P. Vanek331111113
WMay 12 · 18:30D. Hyza44111282113P. Vanek49910111182
WMay 12 · 15:25D. Hyza491111511113P. Vanek4871311892
WApr 29 · 16:25D. Hyza549111111123P. Vanek45113138102
WApr 21 · 18:25D. Hyza46111185113P. Vanek4678111192
LApr 21 · 15:25D. Hyza31561281P. Vanek43111110113
WApr 1 · 14:50D. Hyza41311511113P. Vanek4311611782
LMar 25 · 18:53D. Hyza32911481P. Vanek4011711113
D. Hyza10
WSep 22 · 16:55D. Hyza1.8391111113A. Kosacky1.83116941LSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143LSep 21 · 17:58J. Kocab1.73111011113D. Hyza2.00912561LSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Hyza1.806980J. Kocab1.911111113LSep 21 · 14:55D. Hyza1.9181070P. Benes1.801112113WSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101LSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141LSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza1.831111113J. Kocab1.838380
P. Vanek10
WSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky2.50931191P. Vanek1.5011115113WAug 3 · 21:53P. Vanek1.44129118113M. Kulisek2.63101161192WAug 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek—81111992P. Vanek—118811113LAug 3 · 18:55P. Vanek2.209660D. Bochnak1.611111113LAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka2.0011119113P. Vanek1.73591151WAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.6381111992P. Vanek1.44118811113WAug 2 · 21:58P. Vanek1.80111145113M. Prochazka1.9179111182LAug 2 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.61119811113P. Vanek2.2031111742LAug 2 · 19:55M. Brozek2.001111113P. Vanek1.736860WAug 2 · 19:25P. Vanek2.00111136113M. Prochazka1.7379111172
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