TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Vanek vs Michal Prochazka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Aug 2Finished
Petr Vanek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117119411511118
Michal Prochazka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingPetr Vanek above · Michal Prochazka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vanek 1–0 Michal Prochazka Michal Prochazka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prochazka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prochazka form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanek 1.80 / Prochazka 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prochazka)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #12353116
Vanek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Prochazka1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVanek1wins
AwayProchazka0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVanek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVanekProchazkaV − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.045.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanekProchazkaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 405 vs 59 / 10251.6%57.8%209 / 405 vs 59 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProchazkaVanek 1.80/Prochazka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prochazka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 2 · 19:25P. Vanek42111136113M. Prochazka4579111172
P. Vanek10
WAug 3 · 21:53P. Vanek1.44129118113M. Kulisek2.63101161192WAug 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek—81111992P. Vanek—118811113LAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka2.0011119113P. Vanek1.73591151LAug 3 · 18:55P. Vanek2.209660D. Bochnak1.611111113WAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.6381111992P. Vanek1.44118811113LAug 2 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.61119811113P. Vanek2.2031111742LAug 2 · 19:55M. Brozek2.001111113P. Vanek1.736860WAug 2 · 19:25P. Vanek2.00111136113M. Prochazka1.7379111172LJul 16 · 18:10J. Zacharda1.8051211113P. Vanek1.911110491LJul 16 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8071350D. Vesecky1.911115113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101WAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka2.0011119113P. Vanek1.73591151LAug 2 · 19:25P. Vanek2.00111136113M. Prochazka1.7379111172
Upcoming Matches
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M. Prochazka
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