TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Prochazka vs Petr Vanek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Aug 3Finished
Michal Prochazka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119911115––
Petr Vanek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Vanek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Prochazka above · Petr Vanek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Petr Vanek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michal Prochazka 1–2 Petr Vanek Michal Prochazka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prochazka 1639 vs Vanek 1711
Vanek
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prochazka 0% vs Vanek 40%
Vanek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prochazka 20% vs Vanek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prochazka -5 · Vanek +1
Prochazka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProchazka 2.00 / Vanek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vanek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12355419
Prochazka2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Vanek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 45 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeProchazka1wins
AwayVanek2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVanek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prochazka1Vanek2n = 3Vanek took 2 of 3
S2Prochazka1Vanek2n = 3Vanek took 2 of 3
S3Prochazka2Vanek1n = 3Prochazka took 2 of 3
S4Prochazka3Vanek0n = 3Prochazka took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricProchazkaVanekP − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.338.0+6.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProchazkaVanekBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 105 vs 208 / 40357.1%51.6%60 / 105 vs 208 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanekProchazka 2.00/Vanek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prochazka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka4211119113P. Vanek30591151
LAug 2 · 21:58M. Prochazka4679111182P. Vanek42111145113
LAug 2 · 19:25M. Prochazka4579111172P. Vanek42111136113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101LAug 12 · 09:59M. Prochazka1.50811991M. Cerny2.5011911113WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113
P. Vanek10
WAug 3 · 21:53P. Vanek1.44129118113M. Kulisek2.63101161192WAug 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek—81111992P. Vanek—118811113LAug 3 · 18:55P. Vanek2.209660D. Bochnak1.611111113WAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.6381111992P. Vanek1.44118811113WAug 2 · 21:58P. Vanek1.80111145113M. Prochazka1.9179111182LAug 2 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.61119811113P. Vanek2.2031111742LAug 2 · 19:55M. Brozek2.001111113P. Vanek1.736860WAug 2 · 19:25P. Vanek2.00111136113M. Prochazka1.7379111172LJul 16 · 18:10J. Zacharda1.8051211113P. Vanek1.911110491LJul 16 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8071350D. Vesecky1.911115113
Upcoming Matches
M. Prochazka
Nothing scheduled
P. Vanek
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