Jiri Grohsgott vs Andrii Tkachenko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jiri Grohsgott

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

117115119––––

Andrii Tkachenko

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:55 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%

Graded at full time

Jiri Grohsgott to win

58.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Andrii Tkachenko below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 54 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 58.9%

54 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Grohsgott 1–0 Andrii Tkachenko Andrii Tkachenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 1–0Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Grohsgott

Grohsgott 1.57/Tkachenko 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.9%

Grohsgott · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Grohsgott won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:55

58.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.8pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Grohsgott

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-0 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Grohsgott 1186 vs Tkachenko 1108

Grohsgott

Correct

both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Grohsgott 20% vs Tkachenko 40%

Tkachenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Grohsgott 30% vs Tkachenko 60%

Tkachenko

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Grohsgott -2 · Tkachenko -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Grohsgott: form 20%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGrohsgott 1.571 / Tkachenko 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Grohsgott)-4.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeGrohsgott1wins

AwayTkachenko0wins

Grohsgott leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home1

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricGrohsgottTkachenkoG − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGrohsgottTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime734 / 1500 vs 21 / 4548.9%46.7%734 / 1500 vs 21 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.134.2per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13278767

Grohsgott1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite65% won 148 of 229

Up 2–0, closes it93% 83 of 89

Up 1–0, closes it80% 112 of 140

Tkachenko2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 9 days ago (Oct 03) · back after a break

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 15 of 35

Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Jiri Grohsgott vs Andrii Tkachenko 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jiri Grohsgott vs Andrii Tkachenko 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.