TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Grohsgott vs Lubos Mikyska 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611611––––
Lubos Mikyska
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–4Last 7Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched: 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeLubos Mikyska to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Lubos Mikyska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-4
Point 46 set 3, 5-4 · our read held Lubos Mikyska at 58.4%
46 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 0–1 Lubos Mikyska Jiri Grohsgott has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Mikyska beat Grohsgott 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1958.4%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57
short by 5.3pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Mikyska
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1217 vs Mikyska 1396
Mikyska
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 40% vs Mikyska 60%
Mikyska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 50% vs Mikyska 43%
—
Too close
7pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +2 · Mikyska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Mikyska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.20 / Mikyska 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Mikyska)-5.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269580
Grohsgott2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 125 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back21% 40 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Mikyska1.57
43%won 3 of 7 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGrohsgott0wins
AwayMikyska1wins
Mikyska leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGrohsgottMikyskaG − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match28.040.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottMikyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime731 / 1490 vs 3 / 749.1%42.9%731 / 1490 vs 3 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.141.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikyskaGrohsgott 2.20/Mikyska 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Mikyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mikyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 10 · 10:30J. Grohsgott28112691L. Mikyska4071111113
J. Grohsgott10
WOct 10 · 15:00L. Havrda1.6789141172J. Grohsgott2.101111127113LOct 10 · 13:30L. Mikyska1.731115113J. Grohsgott2.0041340WOct 10 · 12:30M. Syroha1.616380J. Grohsgott2.201111113WOct 10 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.0011111110113M. Lubas1.7357131282LOct 10 · 10:30L. Mikyska1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83112691LOct 9 · 13:00M. Vaclavik1.7351111113J. Grohsgott2.00114691LOct 9 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.73111211113J. Grohsgott2.001101391LOct 9 · 11:00D. Mutl2.2091511113J. Grohsgott1.611113691WOct 9 · 10:30J. Grohsgott2.251311113V. Hruska Sr1.5711690WOct 9 · 09:30J. Grohsgott1.73711911113D. Mutl2.0011511642
L. Mikyska8
WOct 10 · 13:30L. Mikyska1.731115113J. Grohsgott2.0041340WOct 10 · 12:00M. Lubas1.7351150L. Mikyska2.001113113LOct 10 · 11:00M. Syroha1.73117911113L. Mikyska2.0081111972WOct 10 · 10:30L. Mikyska1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83112691WOct 6 · 13:02P. Sudek1.80411811112L. Mikyska1.91116119133LOct 6 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.54101213113L. Mikyska2.2512101161LOct 6 · 11:30L. Mikyska1.831271161P. Sudek1.8314116113LOct 6 · 10:30V. Hruska Sr2.10121199113L. Mikyska1.67105111182
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