TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Grohsgott vs Leos Havrda 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116911911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 49–44 Leos Havrda Leos Havrda has won 44 of their 93 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Grohsgott beat Havrda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.00 / Havrda 1.727
Czech Liga Pro · #13275602
Grohsgott2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 125 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back21% 40 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Havrda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 34 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott2wins
AwayHavrda8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHavrda leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott40%2 of 5
AwayHavrda100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott5Havrda5n = 10split evenly
S2Grohsgott2Havrda8n = 10Havrda took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott2Havrda8n = 10Havrda took 8 of 10
S4Grohsgott1Havrda4n = 5Havrda took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottHavrdaG − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.337.5−7.2per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime732 / 1494 vs 225 / 49649%45.4%732 / 1494 vs 225 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaGrohsgott 2.00/Havrda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 15:30J. Grohsgott31611771L. Havrda4211911113
WSep 26 · 21:30J. Grohsgott341111123L. Havrda2275100
LSep 26 · 18:00J. Grohsgott32117591L. Havrda4071111113
LSep 23 · 16:30J. Grohsgott44113711122L. Havrda50711117143
LSep 20 · 02:00J. Grohsgott216780L. Havrda331111113
LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott179530L. Havrda331111113
LSep 5 · 12:30J. Grohsgott208750L. Havrda331111113
LAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott195860L. Havrda331111113
WJul 1 · 01:00J. Grohsgott511181110113L. Havrda4691171272
LJun 29 · 09:00J. Grohsgott341181051L. Havrda4391112113
J. Grohsgott10
LOct 10 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.53118811113J. Grohsgott2.3881111942WOct 10 · 15:00L. Havrda1.6789141172J. Grohsgott2.101111127113LOct 10 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.209660L. Mikyska1.571111113LOct 10 · 13:30L. Mikyska1.731115113J. Grohsgott2.0041340WOct 10 · 12:30M. Syroha1.616380J. Grohsgott2.201111113WOct 10 · 11:30J. Grohsgott2.0011111110113M. Lubas1.7357131282LOct 10 · 10:30L. Mikyska1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83112691LOct 9 · 13:00M. Vaclavik1.7351111113J. Grohsgott2.00114691LOct 9 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.73111211113J. Grohsgott2.001101391LOct 9 · 11:00D. Mutl2.2091511113J. Grohsgott1.611113691
L. Havrda10
LOct 10 · 16:30L. Havrda2.209570L. Mikyska1.611111113LOct 10 · 15:00L. Havrda1.6789141172J. Grohsgott2.101111127113LOct 10 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.3671111113L. Havrda3.00118541WOct 9 · 17:30L. Havrda1.80881111113P. Kulhanek1.9011116932WOct 9 · 16:00M. Barta1.4451151182L. Havrda2.63117114113WOct 9 · 15:00J. Svec1.615660L. Havrda2.201111113WOct 9 · 14:30L. Havrda2.1081111113P. Kulhanek1.67119791LOct 4 · 12:58L. Havel1.441111113L. Havrda2.636350LOct 4 · 12:00M. Barta1.801211113L. Havrda1.9110780LOct 4 · 11:00L. Havel1.40611116133L. Havrda2.75118711112
Upcoming Matches
J. Grohsgott
L. Havrda
Nothing scheduled
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