TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ladislav Havel 1956 vs Leos Havrda 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111181176111311
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched: 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Havel 1956 to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Havel 1956 above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 95 set 5, 13-11 · our read held Ladislav Havel 1956 at 67.1%
95 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5867.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 4.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Havel
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Havel 1329 vs Havrda 1236
Havel
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havel 80% vs Havrda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havel 60% vs Havrda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Havel -1 · Havrda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Havel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavel 1.40 / Havrda 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Havel)-4.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238846
Havel1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Havrda2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 44 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavelHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 550 vs 222 / 49047.1%45.3%259 / 550 vs 222 / 490Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
HavelHavel 1.40/Havrda 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Havel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Havel won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Havel10
LOct 4 · 10:00M. Barta1.501113113L. Havel2.5081130WOct 3 · 17:30L. Havel1.80111011113J. Svec1.91612571WOct 3 · 16:30L. Havel1.671111113J. Svec2.109880WOct 3 · 15:00L. Havel1.73461111113V. Hruska Sr2.0011115992WOct 3 · 14:00M. Bohac2.38912121192L. Havel1.5311101013113LSep 25 · 09:30T. Nohejl1.67159911113L. Havel2.10131111562WSep 25 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.00991191L. Havel1.7311118113LSep 25 · 07:30L. Havel1.91111176102T. Nohejl1.80861111123WSep 25 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.80115119112L. Havel1.91411911133LSep 24 · 08:58L. Havel1.835119101J. Pleskot1.8311611123
L. Havrda10
LOct 4 · 12:00M. Barta1.801211113L. Havrda1.9110780LOct 4 · 10:30L. Havrda2.63811761V. Hruska Sr1.4411811113WOct 3 · 03:30L. Havrda1.731211113J. Potensky2.0010260WOct 3 · 02:30L. Havrda1.911111113J. Potensky1.807950WOct 3 · 01:30V. Stach1.67119391L. Havrda2.1061111113WOct 3 · 00:00L. Havrda1.3611116113J. Martinek3.00271191LOct 2 · 23:00J. Cernik2.751281111113L. Havrda1.4014118992LSep 30 · 17:03L. Havrda3.7510811101M. Syroha1.2512114123LSep 30 · 16:30M. Syroha1.2215119113L. Havrda4.001331161WSep 30 · 15:30L. Havrda1.7311911113J. Grohsgott2.00611771
Upcoming Matches
L. Havel
L. Havrda
Nothing scheduled
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