TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Leos Havrda vs Pavel Kulhanek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119117119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched: 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 57.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 9–6 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2957.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 2.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kulhanek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Havrda
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1208 vs Kulhanek 1280
Kulhanek
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 20% vs Kulhanek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 40% vs Kulhanek 20%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda -4 · Kulhanek -1
Havrda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Kulhanek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulhanek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 2.10 / Kulhanek 1.666
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kulhanek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264728
Havrda2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 04)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Kulhanek1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 21 days ago (Sep 18) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 54 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda6wins
AwayKulhanek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHavrda leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda100%4 of 4
AwayKulhanek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda4Kulhanek6n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S2Havrda5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S3Havrda6Kulhanek4n = 10Havrda took 6 of 10
S4Havrda3Kulhanek1n = 4Havrda took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaKulhanekH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.332.4+0.9per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 493 vs 222 / 42745%52%222 / 493 vs 222 / 427Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekHavrda 2.10/Kulhanek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 29 · 06:30L. Havrda327114101P. Kulhanek4311911123
WMay 20 · 16:59L. Havrda4211911113P. Kulhanek36911971
WMay 20 · 16:30L. Havrda341211113P. Kulhanek2110560
WFeb 3 · 18:02L. Havrda331111113P. Kulhanek206680
WFeb 3 · 15:30L. Havrda48661111143P. Kulhanek47111185122
WJan 8 · 15:00L. Havrda4291111113P. Kulhanek33119761
LDec 19 · 18:30L. Havrda2271050P. Kulhanek341112113
WDec 19 · 17:30L. Havrda341112113P. Kulhanek2351080
LDec 14 · 12:30L. Havrda189270P. Kulhanek331111113
LAug 9 · 02:30L. Havrda2899100P. Kulhanek341111123
L. Havrda10
WOct 9 · 15:00J. Svec1.615660L. Havrda2.201111113LOct 4 · 12:58L. Havel1.441111113L. Havrda2.636350LOct 4 · 12:00M. Barta1.801211113L. Havrda1.9110780LOct 4 · 11:00L. Havel1.40611116133L. Havrda2.75118711112LOct 4 · 10:30L. Havrda2.63811761V. Hruska Sr1.4411811113WOct 3 · 03:30L. Havrda1.731211113J. Potensky2.0010260WOct 3 · 02:30L. Havrda1.911111113J. Potensky1.807950WOct 3 · 01:30V. Stach1.67119391L. Havrda2.1061111113WOct 3 · 00:00L. Havrda1.3611116113J. Martinek3.00271191LOct 2 · 23:00J. Cernik2.751281111113L. Havrda1.4014118992
P. Kulhanek10
WOct 9 · 15:30P. Kulhanek1.401111113M. Barta2.759880LSep 18 · 13:30M. Stefek1.50941111113P. Kulhanek2.4511117942WSep 18 · 12:30P. Kulhanek1.83941111113Z. Drabek1.8311117572LSep 18 · 11:00P. Kulhanek2.3840121172M. Stefek1.531111107113LSep 18 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda1.441141111133P. Kulhanek2.63611313112LSep 16 · 12:59M. Chalupnicek1.441111113P. Kulhanek2.635570LSep 16 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4491111113P. Kulhanek2.63118551LSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad1.731211113P. Kulhanek2.0010790LSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Hruska Sr1.7391111113WSep 14 · 17:00P. Kulhanek1.5061111123P. Berdych2.501159101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.