TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Kulhanek vs Miroslav Barta 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched: 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 61.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 4–0 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2161.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 9.5pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kulhanek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Kulhanek
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1266 vs Barta 1328
Barta
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 20% vs Barta 80%
Barta
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 20% vs Barta 60%
Barta
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek -2 · Barta -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Kulhanek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.40 / Barta 2.75
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kulhanek)-9.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264772
Kulhanek1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 54 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Barta2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 68 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKulhanek4wins
AwayBarta0wins
Kulhanek leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek100%4 of 4
AwayBartan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek4Barta0n = 4Kulhanek took 4 of 4
S2Kulhanek3Barta1n = 4Kulhanek took 3 of 4
S3Kulhanek4Barta0n = 4Kulhanek took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKulhanekBartaK − BBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match35.021.8+13.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 395 vs 260 / 55551.9%46.9%205 / 395 vs 260 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.40/Barta 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 3 · 16:00P. Kulhanek331111113M. Barta216690
WApr 3 · 14:30P. Kulhanek331111113M. Barta154380
WJan 10 · 12:00P. Kulhanek331111113M. Barta175840
WDec 19 · 16:00P. Kulhanek4113611113M. Barta341111751
P. Kulhanek10
WOct 9 · 16:30J. Svec2.759111081P. Kulhanek1.4011712113LOct 9 · 14:30L. Havrda2.1081111113P. Kulhanek1.67119791LSep 18 · 13:30M. Stefek1.50941111113P. Kulhanek2.4511117942WSep 18 · 12:30P. Kulhanek1.83941111113Z. Drabek1.8311117572LSep 18 · 11:00P. Kulhanek2.3840121172M. Stefek1.531111107113LSep 18 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda1.441141111133P. Kulhanek2.63611313112LSep 16 · 12:59M. Chalupnicek1.441111113P. Kulhanek2.635570LSep 16 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4491111113P. Kulhanek2.63118551LSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad1.731211113P. Kulhanek2.0010790LSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Hruska Sr1.7391111113
M. Barta10
LOct 9 · 16:00M. Barta1.4451151182L. Havrda2.63117114113LOct 9 · 14:00M. Barta1.7331040J. Svec2.001112113WOct 6 · 17:30M. Barta2.101411113V. Hruska Sr1.6712980WOct 6 · 16:00M. Barta2.10911312113J. Framberk1.67117111062WOct 6 · 15:30V. Hruska Sr1.61111110962M. Barta2.20861211113WOct 6 · 14:00M. Barta1.408121311113M. Syroha2.75111015842LOct 5 · 21:00M. Novotny1.251051111123M. Barta3.75121143102WOct 5 · 20:30M. Barta3.7561311113M. Necas1.251111661LOct 5 · 19:00M. Barta2.756440M. Novotny1.401111113LOct 5 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5791111113M. Barta2.25112481
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